MBTA Construction Projects

Finishing the outbound Kendall head house would be great too. It’s been stagnant for months at what looks like 95% completion. Any word? Absolutely no visible regular activity.
 
Meeting for if alewife should get a commuter rail station. Theres going to be a presentation on the feasibility study.

The presentation and report is posted. The key figure is 800 to 1200 riders per weekday - somewhere near the top 10 stations in 2024. If they get to 30 minute service on the Fitchburg line nearly 2200 riders which would be near the top 5 of stations in 2024. Lots of hemming and hawing in the report. Did anyone attend the meeting to see how it was presented? This would be pretty convenient for my trips out west - even with a smaller Alewife Red Line garage in the future, I could just park and go west to Concord and Fitchburg.
 
The presentation and report is posted. The key figure is 800 to 1200 riders per weekday - somewhere near the top 10 stations in 2024. If they get to 30 minute service on the Fitchburg line nearly 2200 riders which would be near the top 5 of stations in 2024. Lots of hemming and hawing in the report. Did anyone attend the meeting to see how it was presented? This would be pretty convenient for my trips out west - even with a smaller Alewife Red Line garage in the future, I could just park and go west to Concord and Fitchburg.
The last feasibility study projected 60 riders per day, so I smell a big waft of B.S. on the projections. Regional Rail increases ridership, but it doesn't take dregs-of-the-system stations and turn them into Top 10'ers instantly. West Cambridge (I can't in good conscience call this thing "Alewife" given how far it is from the existing station) hasn't grown that much, and there are still a lot of access challenges to this siting like the length of the walk (down Terminal Rd. or up a ludicrous number of switchback ramps) to get to the Parkway.
 
What is the main travel market/“use case” for this station? Is the idea that its ridership will mostly be people living in farther-flung stations along the Fitchburg Line who work in Cambridge, and Alewife presents a convenient transfer opportunity? Or was the study conducted before the T backed off its ambitious TOD plans for Alewife and therefore reflects rosier assumptions about Alewife’s intrinsic trip-generating potential than may be warranted now that there isn’t an imminent TOD transformation?
 
What is the main travel market/“use case” for this station? Is the idea that its ridership will mostly be people living in farther-flung stations along the Fitchburg Line who work in Cambridge, and Alewife presents a convenient transfer opportunity? Or was the study conducted before the T backed off its ambitious TOD plans for Alewife and therefore reflects rosier assumptions about Alewife’s intrinsic trip-generating potential than may be warranted now that there isn’t an imminent TOD transformation?
It can't be for transfers to the Red Line. It's a minimum 1500 ft. walk from an outbound side platform to the fare lobby...probably longer. And it's >2000 ft. from an inbound side platform or island with switchbacks. I think they're basing this totally on TOD, or someone's imagination of absolutely scalding-hot TOD. The Fawcett St. side of the neighborhood has grown a real lot since the last study, and Cambridgepark has grown a bit too although it was already pretty built out as of the last study. So there's ingredients available. But there's a finite amount of density in the neighborhood because of its car centricity, and access challenges to a lot of other surrounding development because of the positioning of the ROW in a relative dead zone (the electrical substation + Keolis maint facility + Parkway/Mall parking lot) breaking up the parts of the neighborhood from each other. So it's not through-the-moon levels of passenger swells for a minimum 15-minute headway (and hourly until we reach that stage) service that has much more limited trip-pairing potential vs. the neighborhood's Red Line orientation. Their ridership projections don't add up by an order of magnitude. I wouldn't rank this one in the Top 15 most needed CR infills at all.
 
My guess is that this is a sop to the lab plans in the Fawcett St area: Pitching potential tenants easy access to commuter rail for their suburban employees.
 
The presentation and report is posted. The key figure is 800 to 1200 riders per weekday - somewhere near the top 10 stations in 2024. If they get to 30 minute service on the Fitchburg line nearly 2200 riders which would be near the top 5 of stations in 2024. Lots of hemming and hawing in the report. Did anyone attend the meeting to see how it was presented? This would be pretty convenient for my trips out west - even with a smaller Alewife Red Line garage in the future, I could just park and go west to Concord and Fitchburg.
Can you share the link?
 
travel market/“use case”
Looking at the slides and report now. It seems like it's a Route 2 (major) and Essex county (minor) travel market. The use case though is dependent on the next development cycle -- the Cambridge zoning plan has development projections showing:
  • ~24,400 jobs
  • ~16,900 residents
 
I haven't seen a feasibility study for this area before. When was it studied?
CTPS, 2 decades ago. Yeah, it's dated...but they were leaning hard back then on Cambridgepark being all built out by TOD by the time it opened so that growth was anticipated. Fawcett St./Concord Ave. development wouldn't have been factored back then at all because the land wasn't available for redev and that's a significant source of ridership a new study would pick up, but even allowing for that their math is completely fucked all over that report. It overstates the density of what has been developed to truly absurd degrees. Like...have they ever laid eyes on the Alewife area before? It's single-mindedly designed to draw people in cars. That doesn't translate frictionlessly to instant walkability from a CR station in the dead zone subdividing the neighborhood. And yet they direct-compare it favorably with several population- and job-anchor "squares" of big regional renown. Totally bananas stuff.

I lived there for close to 10 years (next to Danehy Park) and know the year-after-year planning misfires of the area intimately well. I wish I had what they're smoking, because apparently it's good enough to see forever.😵‍💫
 
2004 PMT, pages 5C-68 and -69: https://web.archive.org/web/20110928225806/http://www.bostonmpo.org/bostonmpo/pmt-old/PMT-4.pdf

While I'm a bit suspicious of the projections, the area is very different than it was in 2004:
1770499583595.png

1770499632442.png


In 2004 the triangle was mostly commercial clustered around the Red Line station; the tracks were lined with parking lots on the north and industrial on the south. Now the triangle is almost entirely filled in, and there's residential on both sides of the tracks. We've also seen the success of inner-zone stations, both as origins (Boston Landing, and the Fairmount Line) and destinations (Lansdowne, JFK/UMass, Ruggles). The Fitchburg Line also has about 20% more weekday service than it did in 2004; it didn't even have Sunday service at the time.

I think it's important to call the station "West Cambridge" or "Fresh Pond" to make it clear that it's not a transfer station with the Red Line.
 
It overstates the density of what has been developed to truly absurd degrees. Like...have they ever laid eyes on the Alewife area before? It's single-mindedly designed to draw people in cars.
Looking at the neighborhood comparison table in the report, it seems like there may be a case to have some moderate level of ridership even with today's nieghborhood. Population stats within a half mile of CR Alewife is roughly like JFK/Umass (1,095 riders) and employment stats within a half-mile roughly Boston Landing (1,266 riders).

I get the skepticism of the Alewife area - though - as a former (albeit brief) Canadian, the Alewife area to me has always felt like it could be a, now-dated, "new" Canadian neighborhood with the combination of stroads, nature, and modernist/postmodernist construction. That is, somehow have some pretty decent transit ridership despite the car-forward planning.
I think it's important to call the station "West Cambridge" or "Fresh Pond" to make it clear that it's not a transfer station with the Red Line.
Fresh Pond would be good - especially with the mall taking the name right there. Given the MBTA's penchance for a secondary name, I wonder if the following half joking ideas that popped in my head would work : Fresh Pond/SSA, Fresh Pond/Alewife Brook, Alewife Circle, Fresh Pond/Cambridge Point, Fresh Pond/Shiva for Senate.
 
both as origins (Boston Landing, and the Fairmount Line)

To be fair, those generally lack other major transit options besides local bus. Boston Landing only had the mediocre-frequency 64 before and a decent hike to the 86 or 57/66. And none of those will get you downtown quickly, which is where the Boston Landing service gets you.

Fairmount is similar - it only has to outcompete a 2-seat ride on local bus + transferring to OL/RL to get downtown to be the best option.

In contrast, this proposed service largely follows the same axis as the Red Line already transports people on.

I find it very difficult to believe that this would attract any significant # of riders originating from north of the tracks (where Alewife is less of a hike) especially.

Also, the Fitchburg Line currently runs significantly less service than Worcester or Fairmount do, so unless there's commitments to increase those service levels that's another ridership obstacle.

I'm not saying never but I also agree with the other opinions that it doesn't exactly feel like a high priority infill.
 
In contrast, this proposed service largely follows the same axis as the Red Line already transports people on.

I find it very difficult to believe that this would attract any significant # of riders originating from north of the tracks (where Alewife is less of a hike) especially.

Also, the Fitchburg Line currently runs significantly less service than Worcester or Fairmount do, so unless there's commitments to increase those service levels that's another ridership obstacle.

I'm not saying never but I also agree with the other opinions that it doesn't exactly feel like a high priority infill.
There's a couple things at play here though:
- Existing red line goes to South Station and this would bring folks to North Station. Looks to be about a 10 min improvement vs switching at park or downtown (not saying that's worth the cost)
- Healthpeak (south of tracks) is about half of the developable land and is planning something like 2,000 units of housing (so ~3,000 people?) and 2.5 or so million sqft of office/lab. That's both origin and destination production.
- Alewife already has a large employment draw from outside the city and a commuter rail stop will allow people from further out on the Fitchburg line to get to jobs. Makes those cheaper places for housing have better access to jobs.
 
I'll just say that one thing we really need is redundancy in the system, for when trains break, things need to get closed for prolonged maintenance, etc. Having the CR redundant on the OL in the South and Braintree branch makes all of those things way more bearable for riders. On the Ashmont line, I have certainly been jealous with the only real option for me is shuttle buses which are not ideal. I'd argue is one of NYC's biggest assets in their system is how much redundancy is built in, especially the core where lines can be rerouted onto other lines if if they needed. 6th Ave subway needs to be completely shutdown? Well, you have 1 block away the 8th and 6th ave subways. Need to close the 53rd st tunnel to Queens? Just reroute to either the RI tunnel or 60th st which are all reasonable close and get you where you need to be on the Queens Side.
 
One other thing to consider is it is vastly better to put in the transit options before the development happens. If there aren't great transit options south of the tracks, then that development is going to be end up more car-centric by necessity. Developers will put in lots more parking than they otherwise would. They'll demand wider streets. Streets will be designed more for vehicle throughput than anything else. That makes the pedestrian experience worse, and so it will be harder to build any kind of core density of retail or restaurants. In other countries where the prioritize transit, they build in the transit before there is any development for this exact reason. And think of how different Assembly would look now if we told developers we'd put in an infill Orange line station.... eventually.

This isn't to say a West Cambridge station has a slam dunk case. It depends if you think Cambridge is seriously committed to building up the area (yeah, for sure). It depends if you think their projected numbers are even close to reasonable (enh... maybe...). But if you think this area will probably deserve an infill station eventually, then the time to build the station is probably now.
 
I'll just say that one thing we really need is redundancy in the system, for when trains break, things need to get closed for prolonged maintenance, etc. Having the CR redundant on the OL in the South and Braintree branch makes all of those things way more bearable for riders. On the Ashmont line, I have certainly been jealous with the only real option for me is shuttle buses which are not ideal. I'd argue is one of NYC's biggest assets in their system is how much redundancy is built in, especially the core where lines can be rerouted onto other lines if if they needed. 6th Ave subway needs to be completely shutdown? Well, you have 1 block away the 8th and 6th ave subways. Need to close the 53rd st tunnel to Queens? Just reroute to either the RI tunnel or 60th st which are all reasonable close and get you where you need to be on the Queens Side.
This is a great point. This also brings up how important nsrl would be as far as redundancy. For a personal anecdote I used to work in alewife and would take the red line from jfk. If something happened to the red line it would be extremely complicated to get from jfk to the new cr station. With nsrl it would be as simple as going to jfk as usual and just getting on the cr instead of the rl. Quite a few of our rapid transit lines share right of ways with the commuter rail so this would add redundancy across the entire system.
 
One other thing to consider is it is vastly better to put in the transit options before the development happens. If there aren't great transit options south of the tracks, then that development is going to be end up more car-centric by necessity. Developers will put in lots more parking than they otherwise would. They'll demand wider streets. Streets will be designed more for vehicle throughput than anything else. That makes the pedestrian experience worse, and so it will be harder to build any kind of core density of retail or restaurants. In other countries where the prioritize transit, they build in the transit before there is any development for this exact reason. And think of how different Assembly would look now if we told developers we'd put in an infill Orange line station.... eventually.

This isn't to say a West Cambridge station has a slam dunk case. It depends if you think Cambridge is seriously committed to building up the area (yeah, for sure). It depends if you think their projected numbers are even close to reasonable (enh... maybe...). But if you think this area will probably deserve an infill station eventually, then the time to build the station is probably now.
It's way too late to un-ring the bell of the car centricity of Alewife. A quarter-century of car-brained planning around parking capacity and garages makes it what it is. If they cared about transit access to the Fawcett/Concord Ave. side of the neighborhood, they would've put more movement on building the footbridge to the existing rapid transit station. Or cared more than they do(n't) about troubleshooting the existing rapid transit station and its dysfunctional environs. They didn't...they've been fucking the chicken of trying to sack all that cost on private developers who are completely uninterested in either the footbridge or the station redev because...duh...they built their empires to insane parking ratios. Traffic is worse than it's ever been, and the coalition of City and developers just won't adjust no matter how loudly the ward complains about traffic. They're pounding the sunk cost as hard as they ever have. Their brains are totally broken.

When the existing transit station by its own gravity well and to-be-improving service levels can't seem to unstick this mentality at all, I can't foresee a future where a surely over-expensive (because of the access challenges) CR station with worse service levels present and future is going to move the needle significantly. The car-centric recipe means that it'll be underutilized relative to its surrounding density because the mode preference has been reinforced to infinity by the build decisions. It's not that there isn't some significant ridership there...it's that there are 10-15 other infill candidates on the system to spend the resources on where there's actual transit-orientation momentum to tap. This place ain't it.
 

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