That is great news. It's interesting. In my admittedly limited observations, it seems that most Class A office space that is built on speculation seems to get filled up, while those that wait for tenants (e.g., One Congress, Hub on Causeway, etc.) seem to gather dust. Perhaps it's still too early for either of my two cited examples. My assumption is that most companies that intend to move to the city or scale up their operations don't have time for these developments to come to fruition. Would others agree? If so, why aren't more developers willing to commit to constructing these buildings, particularly when vacancy rates are low.
I'm sure I'll get raked over the coals or ignored for posting this question in this thread. I'm also sure that it's a question that's been posed "a billion times." I'm lazy.
It's a good question. And there's a simple, one-word answer:
Risk.
(but here's a longer answer)
Boston admittedly has exceptionally healthy occupancy rates across all land use types (residential, retail, office, hotel, etc.)... it's one of the reasons the value of real estate costs so much here. And the city's done a noteworthy job diversifying its industrial base, especially since the mini recession following the dot-com bust (which had hurt the whole state worse than other parts of the country).
While a developer may have a solid grasp of where the demand lays throughout the city and for which uses, their obstacle is to secure financing. And financiers need the hard evidence (numbers) to demonstrate they'll see a return on their investment before they're willing to shell out the money to develop a project. For years, luxury rentals were a no-brainer to finance in Boston because new luxury buildings would reach 90% occupancy within a year of opening--which is fantastic! As the inventory of those units has added up, there's still demand for them, but we're starting to see their value cool a little bit (ex. see Samuels & Associates plan change from residential to office space at Landmark Center).
121 Seaport is such a rare, fantasy, exceptional scenario in the development world: Skanska both developed
and self-financed the project; and miraculously secured not only one, but TWO corporate global HQ relocations. A project like this office tower costs in the ballpark of $100M to $200M (maybe half or a 3rd of what Hub on Causeway and One Congress will come out to)... still incredibly expensive, and thus risky. Skanska had the advantage of large enough capital reserves to invest in this themselves and assume all the risk--most developers' instincts are to spread risk among other stakeholders (i.e. investors).
I think the preference of companies looking to relocate or expand office space in a short- or long- timeframe is honestly all across the map. Companies have longer lease terms (usually 10+ years), and can reevaluate their needs for space somewhere around the 7 or 8-year mark of those leases. Usually the large firms have 18 months or more to prepare for a relocation, which is similar to the duration of time it takes to construct a new office building. And developers of office buildings really only want a firm commitment for a fraction of the space that they're trying to lease in order to secure financing (like a company signing a long-term lease for 30% of the project's square footage)... the city's only new office tower during the recession--Boston Properties' Atlantic Wharf--only came to fruition because Wellington Management pre-leased 40% of the space in that building.
Like I shared in my initial post, the absorption of any vacant office space in the city is good news for all approved, shovel-ready office tower projects. As available space tightens, companies looking to expand/relocate in Boston will negotiate the deals that keep development momentum rolling.