Idea for fixing the housing shortage

One reason may be that swelling property values don’t feel like a crisis for those who bought into the market years or decades ago, they feel like a windfall. This region, Milton included, is awash in paper millionaires.
I’m extremely close, myself! Feels good, especially for those of us that locked in back in 2020.

I’ve been thinking about the typical NIMBYism against multifamily housing (and I’m not immune, but I’m also trying to save a school from being converted into apartments), and I can’t help but think that opposition to multigenerational housing would likely be much lower.

I’d say that it should be as easy as possible to build in-law suites. Perhaps the state could look at subsidies, or easing regulation, or something along those lines. Imagine how much societal benefit we’d get if a substantial number of empty nest boomers moved into in-law suites with their millennial kids and their young families.
 
I assume the push for in-laws is more about AirBnB.
 
NIMBY Zoning is a form of economic engineering. It clearly favors current homeowners, and artificially inflates housing prices by restricting supply. Therefore economic supply and demand balance cannot be achieved. The economic windfall of the current homeowner who bought in early is a tax on society as a whole, as others cannot afford housing.

Hence the proposal for transaction taxes on homeowners cashing out on their windfall.
 
And providing a mix of new construction of various sizes will help make old expensive housing (as the only option) into old slightly less expensive housing as part of a mix. Let there be a surge of $700/sf 900sf condos!

Perhaps the better way of saying it is that new construction is/has to be so expensive that it can't really have any impact on existing housing prices.
 
I assume the push for in-laws is more about AirBnB.
I’m not sure that is the case. I don’t have the percentage handy, but the overwhelming majority of AirBnB rentals are whole house rentals.
 
I’m not sure that is the case. I don’t have the percentage handy, but the overwhelming majority of AirBnB rentals are whole house rentals.

You would think it would be more condos, as an alternative to a hotel.

But if they were renting/AirBnBing out the house, they could also do so with this new in law unit separately and make even more money.
 
You would think it would be more condos, as an alternative to a hotel.

But if they were renting/AirBnBing out the house, they could also do so with this new in law unit separately and make even more money.
I should clarify: entire property. If its a condo, its the person’s entire condo. Not necessarily the entire building.
 
I know a lot of people who actually are struggling with the blessing of owning a house here. Think about it. What if you own a house around Boston that you bought 30 years ago, and that you raised a family in. You now are assumed to reap a substantial benefit, but where do you go? And your taxes just keep going up. What if you wish to live here don't want to sell the family home? Is that realistic?
 
Other than cutting real estate taxes, what are your thoughts on how to bring broad based moderation or reduction in housing costs in Eastern Mass? I’m curious what’s over the horizon from “problem” to “solution” for folks on here. What are the barriers to those solutions being implemented?
 
Property taxes aren't, in of themselves, a major barrier to home ownership. But generally I think the common sentiment is fairly straightforward - it's a fairly simple supply and demand problem.
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My personal thesis though is that housing in reality isn't widgets - market demand is inelastic as most commonly you need exactly one unit per person, and you don't typically want to buy more housing when the price is low, and if prices go up you need it anyways. see OPEC. When they need to bolster revenue, they don't sell more oil, they cut production because regardless if gas is $2 per gallon or $4, you'll likely still need to drive the same amount. Likewise, you need housing regardless if your rent is $1k or 2k - the thing that changes based on your circumstances and what you can afford is the quality of housing you're purchasing or renting. [think of it as a service - it counts too in this scenario, and quality can mean different things - proximity to transit, Boston, having roommates, etc)

Unfortunately, supply is also inelastic; housing is expensive and time consuming, and the total amount available doesn't change that much with price. If an apartment block exists - the landlord will charge either less or more depending on what the market will sustain but he isn't likely to demolish it and leave it fallow in any scenario. Conversely, a parking lot will take years of design, permitting, and construction to put a building on - it doesn't work like a city building game where if you need more housing you plop it and 15 seconds of a dude swinging a hammer a glass box appears.

Basically, what that ultimately means in theory is that you have very steep supply and demand curves in the housing world - small movements in either can mean a large movement in price. In the Boston metro, we have an enviroment where demand has skyrocketed in recent years, and supply has remained relatively static. The only way to fix that is to create an environment where supply can actually flex to demand, and right now the biggest barrier to building more isn't necessarily regulatory, it's financial. The cost structure of new construction in 2023, between financing costs and actual costs to build anything, means that building housing isn't particularly lucrative compared to other uses (like labs), unless you're building luxury units. Affordable housing projects are a market externality, imposed by regulation and supported by housing trusts - they twist the financial picture enough to get built when the market otherwise wouldn't. Negative externalities, like zoning, also impact the entire market. Granted, any supply is good supply - high quality (new luxury units) free up other units, and so on, as an individual's income are fixed much more than a corporation's, and if they can't find supply in their price range, people don't (and can't) spend more - they either compromise on quality or move elsewhere where demand isn't as high. There's enough folks in Boston with jobs that can afford those new luxury units - they're just not available. Labs, on the other hand, are flush with hundreds of millions in vc money. They don't necessarily care how much their space in Kendall is going to cost, just that it's in Kendall.

A fix to that doesn't necessarily exist beyond the tools that have already been deployed - the incentives for private for profit developers just aren't there for housing compared to other land uses. Plus they're usually more controversial publicly, what with zoning boards and residential communities, further increasing costs. In large part, the state can do things to create those incentives, by introducing positive externalities, but most conventional levers have already been pulled, including the state issuing low cost loans to make the financial picture more plausible, state/municipal owned land, etc.
 
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Thanks, I agree with every word you say (except that biotechs are flush with VC money...that's been a tough time and not exactly on the speedy return :) ). The marginal impact of small changes in supply or demand in housing can be massive. We've also been brainwashed by living in Boston recently, where the line is always up and to the right. The ass can fall out of a market just as quickly if a relatively small group of people decide to leave to the suburbs. We've seen it before, and while that would have a "beneficial" impact on housing costs, it's a horrible scenario for a city.

I also agree that real estate taxes aren't a barrier to buying a house for most people, but I think Scott was referring to a scenario where someone bought a house in, let's say, South Boston for a string and two raisins in 1971. They now own that house outright after re-financing a miniscule mortgage down to 2.5% 8 years ago, but they're also retired and on a fixed income. The value of their asset has gone up 10 million fold since they bought it, but they can't sell it and move and they need to cover their rising tax bill (not to mention maintenance, etc). I hear that complaint, but I don't think the solution is lowering taxes or providing write-offs for perhaps the most blessed generation in human history.

As always, my best answer is that you build more housing of all types by attenuating local control over zoning, recognizing that policy has knock-on effects beyond the loudest detractors. Maybe those imaginary folks move to a smaller new two-bed down the block. Maybe the added density means they can ditch their car and rely on nearby amenities. I frankly don't have a good answer for the scenario, but the much greater problem in my mind is what ruthless competition for scarce resources does to a place. I chose JustBuildIt for a reason after all...
 
One of the things that I think Boston takes for granted is its anchor institutions. MIT, Harvard, every other major university, Mass General, the Latin School, the MFA, the BSO....All that stuff is obviously a huge draw, and can't really be moved elsewhere, but nothing lasts forever.

If you keep effectively turning away from a place some subset of the population because they can't live there for either x, y, or z, eventually people will stop trying to come or stay. That is kind of the writ-large story of New England as a whole (weather notwithstanding), for younger or lower-income people squeezed out by housing prices. As it was for Black people in the South, or Calvinists in 16th century Britain, etc., etc.
 
YIMBY governor speaks



You say rent control should be up to local communities, but they can’t act without the Legislature’s approval. Do you recommend lawmakers approve the home-rule petitions that cities and towns have submitted?

What I recommend is that we act on the Affordable Homes Act. The way through this is by creating more housing. If we create more supply, rents are going to go down, prices are going to go down. That’s also why we put out as part of that proposal things like ADUs. One of the quickest ways to exponentially increase housing is by allowing accessory dwelling units.

So rent control itself isn’t the solution?

I understand that so many people can’t afford rent right now. … And it’s a supply issue. The focus really needs to be on sparking production, new starts, preservation, renovation, rehabilitation, that’s where my energy — that’s where our administration — is going to focus.
 
Thats good to hear. One of the local podcasts I listen to mentioned that the adu law is the next piece of legislation theyre working on to try to create more housing throughout the metro vs in specific clusters.

Hopefully they learn from other cities/states where theyve passed adu laws that were so convoluted and complicated that it lead to almost nothing being built *California*. Also getting rid of single family only zoning statewide would be nice.
 
I am optimistic that the combination of MBTA zoning hitting right as the Fed starts to drop rates will trigger a decent amount of new construction starting late next year.
 
Long term, wouldn't changing the way schools are funded help too? Funding the schools is why at least in places like Groton, there is pushback to more housing.
 
Anyone want to summarize? The globe won’t let me pay for the individual article, and I’m not creating a subscription to read this one story.

Try opening it using a secondary browser among Edge, Chrome, and Firefox. You can clear that browser's history every time you want to read one new story.
 
Try opening it using a secondary browser among Edge, Chrome, and Firefox. You can clear that browser's history every time you want to read one new story.

You are an asshole for doing this, fyi!
 

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