The cost of the Beverly drawbridge work is estimated at $12 mil while the complete Gloucester draw replacement is $28 million, both to be put out to bid soon.
http://www.mbta.com/business_center/bidding_solicitations/future_solicitations/
Gloucester is an all-new bridge. It's a tiny span, though.
Beverly work is to address repairs done 6 years ago after a barge strike damaged the swing span. It hasn't worked right ever since despite the '08 repairs fixing the barge damage,
and they have no idea why. So they're replacing the wonky machinery to improve reliability,
per recommendation from the engineering assessment. They still do not know the root cause or if that's going to be the end of the issues, only that it should be a substantial improvement. The bridge is 130 years old. It is not going to last another quarter-century.
The work done on the Saugus Draw last year restored 40 MPH over the bridge, although the work had to be done as an emergency response, the work they did was permanent.
Except the piers are slowly sinking into the river silt. This "permanent" fix was to close the gap that had opened up. It does not address the root cause of the piers settling, so they must monitor the progression and be prepared to do more of the same fixes in the future. It's also got other misc. aches and pains that flare up. What they are doing is not going to reduce the maintenance strain. It is getting to be a more temperamental a span by the year, and is likewise not likely to last greater than 20 years without full replacement.
That's within the span of time when these North Shore transit increases we are talking about in this thread need to crest to max build. I would consider this a pressing issue.
There was extensive track and signal work done on the Eastern route in the late 1980s and early 1990s. It is all welded rail with Pandrol tie clips. Again, even with the speed restriction in Chelsea (the result of a fatal grade-crossing accident in the 1960s) the travel time from Lynn to Boston is 24 minutes, faster than Blue Line to Lynn will ever be, and faster than the existing travel time to take a bus to Wonderland and transfer.
You're conflating direct travel time on the commuter rail with heavy rail serving many many destinations at high frequencies and many many transfer options on one subway fare. Apples-oranges. If that was the prevailing attraction Forest Hills, Braintee, Quincy Ctr., JFK/UMass, and Malden Ctr. commuter rail would see many more boardings as a shortcut into town when a train happens to pass by. So would Ruggles, Back Bay, Porter. They don't. I've been using Porter for the last 10 years, and yes the freebie to North Station on the Fitchburg Line is mighty convenient. Nobody uses it unless the Red Line is borked and the masses come streaming upstairs. People do not associate commuter rail with a rapid transit shortcut or bypass. Maybe that's something they can work on encouraging more of with proper promotion and finally getting the CR Charlied, but it's going to be psychologically elusive barrier to overcome because you
don't have to check a timetable to ride rapid transit or one of the key bus routes. You just show up, and if service isn't borked something comes along within 5 minutes. You do have to check a timetable to guarantee you timed your arrival correctly for a CR headway. And you do have to check what zone fare it is, which probably isn't going to be a 1A ever in Lynn.
No amount of encouragement is going to totally overcome those extra mental steps 100%. Frankly, 30-40% inroads would be a hell of an impressive accomplishment given current utilization of the cross-platform HRT<-->CR transfers outside downtown. Hell yes they should strive for that. But it's not going to lick the demand out in Lynn. Not even close.
Operating more frequent service in the off-peak is something they can do already. They do not need DMUs per say, but they could potentially reduce fuel costs if they used DMUs instead of additional short trains of push-pull equipment for Boston-Beverly short-turns. They already run extra rush-hour Boston-Beverly short-turns now with existing equipment, and can run an every 15-20 minute combined frequency Boston-Beverly service even with the single track for 0.7 miles through Salem from McNall to Northey Point. I'm not talking about theoretical capacity, I'm talking about expending the span of what they already do. The primary thing stopping them from not operating more off-peak service now is just the operating cost. The line already operates every 15-20 minutes in the peak and obviously would be possible to run every 30 in the off-peak with no capital investment. If they can do it for a few additional hours at Halloween, they could do it for the rest of the year.
Yep. And I think that's why Zone 1A just ain't gonna happen outside of the Fairmount Line or Track 61. It's too much of a loss leader. And it defrays a portion of the cost for the 495-oriented service, so it risks a transit wealth transfer hurting existing riders if runs like Newburyport and Rockport have more trouble covering their costs. They don't get additional service, and they risk getting less service if the operating costs spike from a redistribution elsewhere.
This unfortunately greatly inhibits the potential here for serving Lynn's needs effectively based on my last point about the extra mental steps for acclimating to a CR schedule. Even one that is clock-facing or is Charlied. You would have to make a compelling case that the existing outside-downtown transfer stops would see a similar bump in boardings as shortcut, and that's just not going to happen meaningfully with how near-zero their current utilization is beyond exit-only inbounds where rapid transit destinations trump raw travel time to the terminals.
I'm resolute about this: it opens Pandora's Box to Robin Hood transit from one place to give to another. It encourages too many unintended consequences that could boomerang back and end up hurting the most transit-dependent riders who you would think such a redistribution would favor. Playing with fire. Transit equity is important, and keeping existing services sacred is vital protection against powerful interests horse-trading off people's mobility.