MBTA Commuter Rail (Operations, Keolis, & Short Term)

The MBTA should have just gone and done it without notice. Playing nice when they're a federally regulated railroad blew up in their face. A town cannot stop the restoration of a railroad track on a railroad right-of-way.
 
It will be interesting to see how a fully functional S Attleboro station performs with the Pawtucket Station just two miles down the tracks. Pawtucket is presently seeing in excess of 1k passenger boardings per weekday. Many of these are former S Attleboro users. Would think many that drive to the train would return as it is conveniently located just off the Rte 95 exit ramps. Pawtucket would however be poised to replace any lost passengers with the ongoing new residential development that surrounds the station - some 500 new units have either just opened or are in construction with approx 200 others in the pipeline.


Pawtucket-Central Falls Transit Center
MBTA Commuter Rail Station and RIPTA Regional Bus Hub
Opened 01/23/2023
New Housing Units close to Station Summary



PROJECTADDRESSUNITSSTATUSCONSTRUCTION
327 Pine327 Pine Street182Opened Summer-2025Conv & New
Dexter Street Commons71 Dexter Street150Under ConstructionNew
125 Goff125 Goff Ave140Under ConstructionNew
210 Conant210 Conant Street15Under Conversion ConstructionConv
RISE258 Pine Street179Design StageNew
Shortline Lofts180 Weeden Street29Under ConstructionConv & New
TOTAL695
I’ve been curious about this as well. South Attleboro is the superior siting for a park and ride, and it existed before Pawtucket-Central Falls, so there’s no doubt in my mind the former’s full reopening will put a dent in the latter’s (seemingly?) impressive ridership stats. The big questions are A) how large will that dent be, and B) how long will it take for the TOD to generate enough ridership to replace the “lost” park and ride contingent?

I can’t find it online right now but I am almost certain when they ran the ridership projections for Pawtucket Central Falls, they found something like 80% of the station’s riders would have been people who previously boarded at South Attleboro or Providence. So if South Attleboro’s reopening puts a big dent in Pawtucket’s existing ridership, I wouldn’t take it as a bad omen. It would actually be a return to the normal equilibrium.
 
I’ve been curious about this as well. South Attleboro is the superior siting for a park and ride, and it existed before Pawtucket-Central Falls, so there’s no doubt in my mind the former’s full reopening will put a dent in the latter’s (seemingly?) impressive ridership stats. The big questions are A) how large will that dent be, and B) how long will it take for the TOD to generate enough ridership to replace the “lost” park and ride contingent?

I can’t find it online right now but I am almost certain when they ran the ridership projections for Pawtucket Central Falls, they found something like 80% of the station’s riders would have been people who previously boarded at South Attleboro or Providence. So if South Attleboro’s reopening puts a big dent in Pawtucket’s existing ridership, I wouldn’t take it as a bad omen. It would actually be a return to the normal equilibrium.
Are there financial implications for those riders being in RI vs. MA?

Delaying a S.Attleboro reopening to pump the #s for RIDOT to justify Prov Local Service would be funny
 
Are there financial implications for those riders being in RI vs. MA?

Delaying a S.Attleboro reopening to pump the #s for RIDOT to justify Prov Local Service would be funny
Relieving pressure on existing stations (in this case Providence and South Attleboro, where parking capacity was regularly maxed out for both) can be a perfectly legitimate reason to build an infill station, and I think that was always kind of understood to be a big part of the value proposition in Pawtucket’s case, in addition to the TOD potential.

It’s possible that Pawtucket’s existence reduced the T’s sense of urgency to get South Attleboro rebuilt, but who knows how the former South Attleboro riders decided on their Plan B’s (how many started boarding at Pawtucket vs Attleboro vs stopped riding commuter rail). My point was: so far we haven’t had a chance to get an “accurate” look at how Pawtucket is performing relative to the ridership estimates that justified its construction, because those estimates assumed South Attleboro would be operational. So it shouldn’t be cause for alarm if a large portion of Pawtucket’s ridership vanished when South Attleboro gets rebuilt; that’s probably just what it would have looked like from the start if South Attleboro hadn’t been unexpectedly shut down.
 
(in this case Providence and South Attleboro, where parking capacity was regularly maxed out for both)

Just a nitpick, but, this assertion is just wildly, ridiculously inaccurate, if you include PP Mall Garage.

When I first started commuting from PVD just before the pandemic, the first day I drove in and parked at the garage embedded within the PVD train station, I complained to the parking-lot attendant about the prices, and he said, "yeah, don't park here as a commuter; it's much cheaper at PP Mall Garage."

Happily I took his advice; the rates at PP Mall Garage have been unchanged--$140 month (less than $5 a day!)--since summer 2019. It's only a 3-minute (300-yard) walk from the garage to the train station, so it's as convenient as you can get without being a directly abutting facility.

Finally, both pre- and post-pandemic, there have always been hundreds and hundreds of available spaces at PP Mall Garage as late as 9 or even 10 am in the morning. (Though they do generally all fill up at some point in the afternoon; even in the era of Amazon/online retail, it's definitely challenging to find parking at the PP Mall by 5 pm on weekdays.)
 
Just a nitpick, but, this assertion is just wildly, ridiculously inaccurate, if you include PP Mall Garage.

When I first started commuting from PVD just before the pandemic, the first day I drove in and parked at the garage embedded within the PVD train station, I complained to the parking-lot attendant about the prices, and he said, "yeah, don't park here as a commuter; it's much cheaper at PP Mall Garage."

Happily I took his advice; the rates at PP Mall Garage have been unchanged--$140 month (less than $5 a day!)--since summer 2019. It's only a 3-minute (300-yard) walk from the garage to the train station, so it's as convenient as you can get without being a directly abutting facility.

Finally, both pre- and post-pandemic, there have always been hundreds and hundreds of available spaces at PP Mall Garage as late as 9 or even 10 am in the morning. (Though they do generally all fill up at some point in the afternoon; even in the era of Amazon/online retail, it's definitely challenging to find parking at the PP Mall by 5 pm on weekdays.)
I’ve used the mall garage instead of the station garage for the same reason. That claim about the station lots being full wasn’t my own justification; that was RIDOT’s at the time. They focused on official station parking availability and a license plate survey at South Attleboro to show how many R.I. residents were parking there. So yeah, functionally the mall greatly expands the amount of parking for Providence Station, but as far as I recall it wasn’t framed that way. And clearly Pawtucket got built, so it’s fair to say that whether the framing was as accurate as it could have been, “the powers that be” were receptive to a pitch where a good amount of the value proposition was loading relief for nearby stations.
 
The big questions are A) how large will that dent be, and B) how long will it take for the TOD to generate enough ridership to replace the “lost” park and ride contingent?
There should be no time needed. Much of the new Pawtucket TOD residences should already be in place well before S Attleboro is ever rebuilt. 500 new housing units have either just opened or are presently in the construction phase. A few hundred more are in the planning stage, and if built, would likely come on line before a S Attleboro station renovation was completed. In the end, the S Attleboro station rebuild may be needed to relieve the pressure on the Pawtucket station.
 
The study, conducted by the MassINC Policy Center and TransitMatters, analyzed data from transit systems across the country and found that the MBTA’s Commuter Rail is the only network to come close to recovering to pre-pandemic ridership numbers. The latest figures show that the T’s Commuter Rail is at roughly 90% of pre-pandemic ridership, while other major commuter rail systems in the United States have peaked at just 70%.
[...]
Still, Allen-Connelly notes that there is ample opportunity for even greater ridership gains in the years ahead. According to the study, the system has the capacity to accommodate 400,000 additional riders every weekday, a 400% increase over current volumes.
“The MBTA will never fill every seat on every train,” Ben Forman, director of the MassINC Policy Center, said in a written statement. “But it is important to recognize that this existing infrastructure has the potential to deliver so much more mobility if we price it accordingly. Serving Gateway City residents is especially important if we want to generate equitable economic development.”
In order to encourage more ridership, the report recommends cutting off-peak and reverse-commute fares in half, while also investing in greater frequency and reliability.
 
In order to encourage more ridership, the report recommends cutting off-peak and reverse-commute fares in half, while also investing in greater frequency and reliability
Ive long held the opinion that the real key to increasing regional rail ridership, reducing highway traffic, and decreasing pollution in the city of Boston is rather than making buses free, using the same money the state would need to allocate to that to instead subsidize much reduced regional rail fares. Making the train fare be more comprable to what the gas cost is of the driving commute of the same distance would attract a lot of people to not bother with the traffic and save the gas money, as it is the only cost associated with driving that most drivers percieve.

To live in most of Boston's suburbs, the reality is people will need to own a car to get basic necessities. Theyre going to have to pay for the car anyway, and if the cost to get to work (using Zone 3 as an example) is $16 on the train but $8 in gas then thats not any sort of saving besides maybe time depending if theres a well timed train for work. At that point many people will just use the car theyre paying hundreds a month for anyway rather than double the cost of that gas. If that same round trip was halved to $8, then the benefits of the train start to shine more and the other aspects of car ownership like wear and tear start to creep in to the psyche.
 
I had a former coworker who moved from Boston to West Natick and still commuted into work in eastern Watertown. He used to take the express train from West Natick to Boston Landing and walked the rest of the way, but he eventually bought a car (presumably since it's hard to get around West Natick without a car). He told me he'd prefer to take the train in (he said with rush hour traffic the train is faster and more relaxing than driving in), but he said he can't afford both car payments and a Zone 4 commuter pass ($281/mo), so he just drives in instead.
 
Ive long held the opinion that the real key to increasing regional rail ridership, reducing highway traffic, and decreasing pollution in the city of Boston is rather than making buses free, using the same money the state would need to allocate to that to instead subsidize much reduced regional rail fares. Making the train fare be more comprable to what the gas cost is of the driving commute of the same distance would attract a lot of people to not bother with the traffic and save the gas money, as it is the only cost associated with driving that most drivers percieve.

To live in most of Boston's suburbs, the reality is people will need to own a car to get basic necessities. Theyre going to have to pay for the car anyway, and if the cost to get to work (using Zone 3 as an example) is $16 on the train but $8 in gas then thats not any sort of saving besides maybe time depending if theres a well timed train for work. At that point many people will just use the car theyre paying hundreds a month for anyway rather than double the cost of that gas. If that same round trip was halved to $8, then the benefits of the train start to shine more and the other aspects of car ownership like wear and tear start to creep in to the psyche.
The commuter rail is already the most, by far, subsidized form of transit on the MBTA (ignoring the Ride and Ferries/etc) - at already $5-6/rider. Any money put into further subsidizing that should instead be put into electrification and moving to real EMU based regional rail, which will actually transform the commuter rail system and bring significantly more ridership and lower operating costs substantially.
 
How full are the trains? If there's any empty seats, higher ridership would bring down the subsidy per rider, since the cost of running the train in the first place (crew, fuel, maintenance, etc.) are largely the same no matter how empty or full a train is. Wasn't that the whole point of the $10 weekend pass, which significantly increased weekend ridership?
 
How full are the trains? If there's any empty seats, higher ridership would bring down the subsidy per rider, since the cost of running the train in the first place (crew, fuel, maintenance, etc.) are largely the same no matter how empty or full a train is. Wasn't that the whole point of the $10 weekend pass, which significantly increased weekend ridership?

I’ve always wanted a breakdown for the operating costs of a single trip based on equipment used, and see how much lower that would be with DMUs/EMUs to help justify regional rail. I know that’s a complicated dataset with a billion variables, but would kill for even a ballpark figure with very generalized data. Even just data on fuel consumption by line, equipment, and passenger load would be amazing

On passes, I only worked downtown for a year, but think more options and incentives for employer passes would be huge for this. My firm pooled very expensive garage spaces which weren’t reserved for a specific person, I wonder if new company wide CR passes could do the same for their workers splitting time in home or office.
 
I think the $10 weekend pass is proof that off-peak fares are too high. They really do need to do something to incent off-peak usage. Maybe monthly passholders get a U+4 free on off-peak or weekend trains. Alternatively, U+1 for off-peak fares, essentially making things a 50% discount?
 
I’ve always wanted a breakdown for the operating costs of a single trip based on equipment used, and see how much lower that would be with DMUs/EMUs to help justify regional rail. I know that’s a complicated dataset with a billion variables, but would kill for even a ballpark figure with very generalized data. Even just data on fuel consumption by line, equipment, and passenger load would be amazing

On passes, I only worked downtown for a year, but think more options and incentives for employer passes would be huge for this. My firm pooled very expensive garage spaces which weren’t reserved for a specific person, I wonder if new company wide CR passes could do the same for their workers splitting time in home or office.
The best my work will do is the pre-tax pass. I don't use the CR enough to justify even that, but if they covered a bit more than pre-tax I'd consider using it more.
 
The commuter rail is already the most, by far, subsidized form of transit on the MBTA (ignoring the Ride and Ferries/etc) - at already $5-6/rider. Any money put into further subsidizing that should instead be put into electrification and moving to real EMU based regional rail, which will actually transform the commuter rail system and bring significantly more ridership and lower operating costs substantially.
Even if they spend billions of dollars to electrify the regional rail system, that doesn't change the fact that people still need to pay hundreds a month on a car to be able to access their basic necessities in most of the state. Keeping the cost of the regional rail the exact same won't move the needle too much if it's still out of budget for suburbanites to use regularly. If the goal is to get more people riding the train more regularly then they need to actually be able to afford it for more than just a trip or two a week. And if the subsidy is already so high then the additional subsidy needed in order to reduce fares isn't much of a financial hit that diminishes as it gets more buts in seats and fills the existing capacity.
How full are the trains? If there's any empty seats, higher ridership would bring down the subsidy per rider, since the cost of running the train in the first place (crew, fuel, maintenance, etc.) are largely the same no matter how empty or full a train is. Wasn't that the whole point of the $10 weekend pass, which significantly increased weekend ridership?
Peak trains are already running very full. Taking the Fall 2024 passenger counts in the morning inbound direction, the first trains to fall below 800 passengers are Worcester Line trains 508/584 (now 1516/518). Which I have no idea what sort of consist they were running but if it was one of the 3 single-levels flanked by 2 bi-levels then thats exceeding their full seating capacity. Trains still have in excess of 300 passengers on the early pre-6am trains and the post-peak arriving into Boston well after 9am ones. Many midday trains have more than 100 passengers now that clockface service is a thing. Start selling tickets at reduced off-peak rates like Metro-North does and that should see the already healthy off-peak ridership further fill up those empty seats. With the South Station fare gates coming then the lack of midday conductors for ticket checking across multiple coaches is also less of an issue.
The best my work will do is the pre-tax pass. I don't use the CR enough to justify even that, but if they covered a bit more than pre-tax I'd consider using it more.
I think this is a good idea for trying to get lower fares with less public subsidy (not that I have a problem with public subsidy for something that'd bring a lot of public benefit). If the MBTA can work in some better CR subsidy agreements with employers beyond simple pre-tax that could have a large effect, especially with how many office workers are now able to come and go off-peak with WFH. Many healthcare workers also work off-hours where they likely currently drive since their commute times are outside rush hour, but could take the train if it was financially incentivised.
I currently do monthly Zone 3 pre-tax through my work which is $261/month. I live in Boston and work in the suburbs so I'm fortunately able to live without a car but even before I finally ditched the car a few years ago I was only able to pencil out the CR costs because I had paid off the car reducing my monthly bills by about the same as a monthly commuter rail pass, so it came out a wash.

I also wonder how a RailCard like what the UK does could pan out for increasing ridership. The occcaisional riders could see incentive in riding more if they could buy a $25/year pass that discounts all ticket purchases by 30%. I feel as though that's more something to increase weekend and liesure travel rather than work travel which the $10 Weekend Pass already does well.
 
$6.5 million per locomotive seems a little much, no?

Edit: watching the actual meeting, Wabtec was the only bidder, and includes a 15-year contract to support the electronics.
 

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