New Red and Orange Line Cars

I think no one here knows and the question has been asked, but what is the hold up right now for new red line trainsets? I'm in Cambridge right now, I got to ride one of the new trains earlier today and it was working well... and quietly. There were 2 running today. On the ride back I rode on one of the ancient trains and when we got to Harvard we ended up sitting in our car for several minutes because the doors weren't opening and the staff had to do some manual override to open the doors. Last night the train I was on riding in was loudly squealing death squeals the whole way. Those new trains are desperately needed in service. The current state of the old trains is... pathetic.

All of the Orange Line railcars have not been delivered yet either!!!!! I hope that the MBTA never looks to this crappy co, again for new for new railcars!!!!!! :eek: :eek: :eek:
 
Last edited:
All of the Orange Line railcars have not been delivered yet either!!!!! I hope that the MBTA never looks to this crappy co, again for new for new railcars!!!!!! :eek: :eek: :eek:
but the orange line is running smoothly and in comparison to my red line experience is probably making it seem even more decrepit than if I didn't have an all-new train comparison to compare it against.
 
Yeah OL is doing fine right now. Obviously more cars would be nice but Red is by far the priority.
Before, it was the Orange Line that needed them first because the old Hawkers were breaking down & catching fire. They never were given a midlife rebuild. And so, they just went on & on, & on until the wheels came off, so to speak. Now the rest of the Orange Line's new railcars are on hold because the Red Line's older cars which have been in use since Nixon was prez have begun to show their age & are getting on in years. :eek:
 
Before, it was the Orange Linethat needed thyem first because the old Hawkers were breaking down & catching fire. They never were given a midlife rebuild. And so, they just went on & on, & on until the wheels came off, so to speak. Now the rest of the Orange Line's cars are on hold because the Red Line's older car which have been in used since Nixon was prez have begun to show their age & are getting on in years. :eek:
Nothing is "on-hold". Red and Orange have each been averaging 1 pair per month of new deliveries for about 6 months now. CRRC is going too slow on deliveries for both lines, but it's only biting Red in the butt because the CRRC's are such a small percentage of the Red fleet while Orange now has 1 more available set of new cars than it had total sets of old cars. And it's quite likely that some of the active CRRC Red cars are down for warranty mods, since they haven't been running 4 sets even though they have 4 sets' worth of accepted cars.
 
Nothing is "on-hold". Red and Orange have each been averaging 1 pair per month of new deliveries for about 6 months now. CRRC is going too slow on deliveries for both lines, but it's only biting Red in the butt because the CRRC's are such a small percentage of the Red fleet while Orange now has 1 more available set of new cars than it had total sets of old cars. And it's quite likely that some of the active CRRC Red cars are down for warranty mods, since they haven't been running 4 sets even though they have 4 sets' worth of accepted cars.
CRRC has been slow in getting the new cars to the MBTA for the longest time. But I guess that no one even knew that this would happen!! I wish & hope that this crappy co is not ever chosen to make any more railcars for the MBTA again. Ever!!!!! :mad: :mad:
 
By the schedule, this month is the first that we should expect to see 3 pairs delivered (1 orange, 2 red) as part of the contract reset. We've finally reached the divergence point between the reset schedule and past performance - it'll be fairly informative as to future outlook and drive the retirement dates of the legacy RL fleet.
1000037954 (1).jpg
 
MBTA likely to move some Red Line trains to 4 car operation, as the agency struggles to have enough new Chinese CRRC cars come into service, as new Trump tariffs against China take effect

* Wasn't the contract with CRRC last renegotiated long before Trump won the election?
* Red Line in rough rough shape. Service is already struggling to be every 13 minute headways on RL branches even during the weekday peak. Pre COVID the average RL branch weekday headway was every 10.5-11 minutes with 9 minute headways rush hour.
* New CRRC cars from China, which now has 10% new Trump tariffs (and may go up in the future)
* No more than 36 CRRC cars on the RL delivered; per the latest Boston 25 article above, but few are even in revenue service yet.
* Are we even going to see any more CRRC cars come into service after this? Will the T get around to re-fixing the contract again to account for new (perhaps unforeseen changes) since then; since it was not certain Trump would win when the contract was reset?

Also, if this happened prior to Eng, wouldn't we have just seen a 10% service cut with 2 fewer trainsets, reducing branch headways to every 15-17 minutes? Oh man, the 4 car operation of the RL perhaps might be going to last quite a long time at this rate, maybe lasting even into the electrification of the regional CR system.

1739716478032.png

1739716598865.png
 
This CRRC saga is most unfortunate. Even after the restrictions, they could have made good coin meeting the transit vehicle needs of their present clients. With a plant in WMa, they could have built a thousand EMU cars
 
This CRRC saga is most unfortunate. Even after the restrictions, they could have made good coin meeting the transit vehicle needs of their present clients. With a plant in WMa, they could have built a thousand EMU cars
All of their current North American clients have backed away. SEPTA infamously canceled its commuter rail coach order (there's a couple of nearly-complete cars within photography distance sitting in the Springfield plant's yard). And both L.A. Metro and CTA in Chicago passed on very large-quantity option orders of their ongoing orders. The Springfield plant is getting shuttered in 2-1/2 years when the T's order is complete. Nobody here is going to touch them for a generation; they're getting the same multi-decade death penalty that Breda and Nippon Sharyo got after fucking up multiple large/make-or-break orders. And that fate was clinched well before the tariffs got increased. They're totally radioactive.

That leaves a perfectly serviceable brand new railcar assembly plant in the state, and a very big task for the state to try to attract a new tenant. It's not going to be easy, because unless Hyundai-Rotem wants to dip its toes back in the Buy America waters a few years after closing their disastrously incompetent Philly plant there's not a lot of vendors in this now very consolidated industry who truly need another U.S. assembly plant. Most of the big boys are all set on capacity.
 
I really want to know why they have continued to fail so abysmally at meeting their goals. While I think a mistake was made making this deal with a Chinese company based out of a country ours will always have tensions with, the issues are going so far beyond that.
 
I really want to know why they have continued to fail so abysmally at meeting their goals. While I think a mistake was made making this deal with a Chinese company based out of a country ours will always have tensions with, the issues are going so far beyond that.
This is known. They have no incentive to honor the contract. They sold us these trains at a loss to establish themselves in the North American market and the federal government banned them from selling in the market. From CRRC's perspective, it's throwing good money after bad and so they've made the decision to focus on their contracts that bring in money or potential money instead and they, being a national company, have the support of their government. Our legislature actually agreed to waive all of the delay penalties because we could essentially abandon the bid and start a brand new procurement that would take 10 years and arrive after they are needed or we could try and use the carrot to get some of the trains before ours failed.
 
All of their current North American clients have backed away. SEPTA infamously canceled its commuter rail coach order (there's a couple of nearly-complete cars within photography distance sitting in the Springfield plant's yard). And both L.A. Metro and CTA in Chicago passed on very large-quantity option orders of their ongoing orders. The Springfield plant is getting shuttered in 2-1/2 years when the T's order is complete. Nobody here is going to touch them for a generation; they're getting the same multi-decade death penalty that Breda and Nippon Sharyo got after fucking up multiple large/make-or-break orders. And that fate was clinched well before the tariffs got increased. They're totally radioactive.

That leaves a perfectly serviceable brand new railcar assembly plant in the state, and a very big task for the state to try to attract a new tenant. It's not going to be easy, because unless Hyundai-Rotem wants to dip its toes back in the Buy America waters a few years after closing their disastrously incompetent Philly plant there's not a lot of vendors in this now very consolidated industry who truly need another U.S. assembly plant. Most of the big boys are all set on capacity.
To be fair, right now Hyundai-Rotem is in the market for a new US facility- they won a 182 car order from LA Metro last year, scheduled for delivery beginning in 2028. In fact, that order is the substitute for the CRRC Springfield option cars. Add in their extensive relationship with the T? Right now, they're the last major global manufacturer without a US plant, ever since Hitachi built their Hagarstown MD Facility, which should be opening this year to fulfill their WMATA/ SEPTA orders.

Really, CRRC should have sold to Hitachi back in 2022 when the writing was already on the wall. Hitachi could have rescued the CRRC deliveries, especially since they managed to turn around the general mess that was AnsaldoBreda after acquiring it wholesale in 2015. Anyone not-CRRC probably would have leaped at that, but at this point selling the facility to anyone can only be a good thing for the T.
 
What does Trump have to do with this?!!! The new railcars were ordered long before he returned to office!!!!!! :mad: :mad: :mad::mad:
 
What does Trump have to do with this?!!! The new railcars were ordered long before he returned to office!!!!!! :mad: :mad: :mad::mad:
The new tariffs on China that went into effect this month, I highly doubt the 2025 tariffs was factored in when they reset the contract ages ago. That is the problem.
 
The new tariffs on China that went into effect this month, I highly doubt the 2025 tariffs was factored in when they reset the contract ages ago. That is the problem.
It wasn't ages ago. It was 9 months ago that they last reset the contract. And that was for a Biden tariff adjustment. This isn't a new thing in the slightest.
 
There's additional new tarrifs, as well.
Yeah, so? The CRRC contract has been amended a couple times already for new tariffs. This isn't a new "Omigod!" thing. The T has already been paying for tariff increases on this deal since it was signed 12 years ago, and they'll continue to do so because it's cheaper than nuking the contract and soliciting a new one (from a different country that's likely also tariffed and using various source parts from other countries that are likely tariffed) while programming funds for selective systems replacements on the old cars to wheeze them along another half decade (using source parts from other countries that are likely tariffed).

Tariffs may suck, but they aren't new and they aren't something the T is going to flinch at at this stage in the contract.
 
Yeah, so? The CRRC contract has been amended a couple times already for new tariffs. This isn't a new "Omigod!" thing. The T has already been paying for tariff increases on this deal since it was signed 12 years ago, and they'll continue to do so because it's cheaper than nuking the contract and soliciting a new one (from a different country that's likely also tariffed and using various source parts from other countries that are likely tariffed) while programming funds for selective systems replacements on the old cars to wheeze them along another half decade (using source parts from other countries that are likely tariffed).

Tariffs may suck, but they aren't new and they aren't something the T is going to flinch at at this stage in the contract.
Although, there is a question there - the LA metro and CTA CRRC orders also predate the introduction of anti-China tariffs, both dating to 2016. CTA's order is comparably sized to the MBTA's, (400 vs 404) and was even more aggressively priced than the MBTA's - (632M, 1.58M/car vs our 871M, 2.12M/car) - but my understanding is that neither of them have amended their contracts to adjust for tariffs, and so far CRRC has managed the same approximate 2-3MP/month rate for CTA out of their IL facility as for the T out of Springfield.

Now granted, both of those agencies are probably less desperate than Boston - but the cars the CTA was planning on replacing are just as old as the T's. Perhaps they're in ok enough shape and/or leaning on the common nature of their fleet, and thus might be able and willing to wait until 2030 for completion, but it's still notable that the T had to kick in an extra 148M when the CTA didn't.
 
Last edited:

Back
Top