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Robust Conditions Continue in Boston Market
By Debra Gould/ Real Estate
Sunday, April 1, 2007
Last year?s dynamic Boston office market ? highlighted by a red hot investment sales market and strong leasing demand ? ought to spark a robust 2007 environment, one marked by escalating rents, tight market conditions and new development opportunities.
With four consecutive years of positive net absorption, market conditions in Boston?s class A market continue to tighten and lead the overall office market recovery in Boston. Over 2006, tenants in the class A market absorbed a net of nearly half a million square feet.
As a result, the availability rate fell to 12.4 percent, approximately two percentage points less than year-end 2005. Meanwhile, the vacancy rate remained in the single digits at 5.6 percent.
A lack of large blocks of premium class A space continues to impact leasing decisions for both tenants and landlords. The remaining handful of available blocks of 100,000 square feet or more are expected to be absorbed quickly as a lack of new construction puts considerable strain on supply.
The strong market fundamentals prevalent over the last few years have attracted a tremendous amount of capital to the city, and many of Boston?s trophy properties have changed hands.
Overall, the Greater Boston region recorded approximately $9 billion in investment sales transactions, 73 percent of which were located in downtown Boston.
Now that the Blackstone Group has acquired Equity Office Properties, all eyes will be on Boston and the 14 downtown properties included in the portfolio. Looking at other cities impacted by the EOP purchase such as New York, Portland and Washington, D.C., it?s safe to assume that Boston?s skyline will see major ownership changes over the next year.
Tenants will feel these ownership changes, impacted by record low cap rates and a lack of supply in the form of higher rents. The average asking rent in the tower market has increased approximately 24 percent over the last year to $47.50 per square foot gross.
Likewise, tightening conditions on upper floors have motivated landlords to increase asking rates for high-rise space to an average of $51.50 per square foot gross. This trend is expected to continue with some landlords quoting $67 to $80 per square foot gross for premium tower view space.
Class B landlords are also benefiting from these frothy conditions and are experiencing an increase in demand from tenants priced out of the premium towers. Consequently, class B landlords pushed asking rents to an average of $31 per square foot gross, a 17.5-percent increase over last year.
As competition heats up among some of the larger tenants and investors strive to meet return on investment goals, landlords are expected to aim high and push the envelope with asking rents.
These forces will undoubtedly open the door to new development. With several large leases rolling over the next few years and rents approaching replacement costs, a new tower is expected to be under construction during 2007. [continue]
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