I noticed that last Summer, seemed like about 2-2.5 times as many riders. It is definitely increasing quickly, which is a big deal. At a certain point, we will reach that critical mass and cycling becomes one of the major transportation modes.
The reason for an increase is basically the cycle of life (ie, death spiral in reverse).
The "risk" crowd bikes. Messengers, spandex etc. Nothing will increase/decrease this number.
A trigger happens which gets more people to bike. Gas goes up. Bike lanes are painted on comm ave. Doesnt matter what.
So you have the next group of people try riding. They realize that not only is it not hard* but they can save time (especially if they were relying on the bus).
*If biking IS hard or unpleasant, then we go back to just the risk crowd.
As this new group bikes, other people notice it. Instead of biking JUST being the realm of the odd (deliveries and spandex), its seen as more normal.
People are sheep. They dont want to be the first. They dont want to be odd. They dont want to be the only one in the office that bikes. But if Gary in accounting is biking...then it cant be that hard.
So now the amount of people biking goes up...as does demand for infrastructure. So we get more bike lanes.
Bike lanes not only normalize the activity (ie, if the lanes exist, it must be because people use them), but they make people feel safer.
Again, more people bike.
And the majority of these new bike additions arent stopping, because they realize it's safe, comfortable and fast.
I think this is where we are now. 5 years ago, biking wasnt as accepted. Yes, you saw bikes on campuses...but they were usually parked. Now you see LOTS of cyclists every single day.
And the more normal the activity is seen, the more people willing to try it.
And bike share is the perfect way to get people to try it. $5 is very low risk. No need to buy a bike and such.
So by next summer, we'll be seeing cycling everywhere in the urban area. And thats important because once you get to such a point, it's very hard to go back to where it was before. That is, if we get a new mayor, it'll be very hard to erase bike lanes and such.
Also, Boston has been an excellent exhibit into why "vehicular cyclists" are flat out wrong. Anybody who lives near a new bike lane and passes it every day can see how bike use has exploded on that corridor.
Vehicular cyclists argue that bike lanes arent safe and dont encourage cycling...and theyre obviously wrong. BU saw a huge transformation, btw. After the bike lanes were painted, bike use grew so much that BU had to open 5 new dedicated bike storage rooms (for dorms) and put more bike racks everywhere on campus.