Thanks for the feedback! Lots to think about.
Personally, I think the biggest weakness of the proposal is that it can't provide the ride directly up Washington Street to DTX -- you'd likely need some sort of surface link at Blackstone to facilitate this (in my ideal world we'd pedestrianize Washington to the Pike, which would help with bus speeds for this specific trip). I suppose the most direct solution to that problem is just redoing the old Orange Line route -- just underground this time -- but branching Orange (especially somewhere central like Tufts) would cause other issues. Surface-level Light Rail to Nubian and RLX-Mattapan are certainly cheaper, but this still leaves a gap between Nubian and Mattapan (I'd hope that RLX-Mattapan happens anyway, turning Mattapan Square into a real transit hub of its own).
As a new person to the forum I'm not totally sure what the Urban Ring BRT you're mentioning would look like, so I can't comment on that.
Some thoughts on potential demand:
I started thinking about this route after looking at the bus networks in Roxbury, especially the Nubian - Roxbury Xing - Ruggles "triangle" where you have a large number of people trying to get to a rapid transit line.
My (admittedly amateurish) read is that this shows a pretty strong demand corridor past Nubian. You've got 19, 23, 28, 44 and 45 (which has a slightly different routing but close enough to count) all coming up Warren/BHA to serve Nubian before bringing to the Orange Line connections. Those five lines together were moving about 30,000 people per day according to the 2018 profiles, and while that ridership doesn't perfectly match on the this proposal it shows enough potential to warrant a closer look. Even if we assume that people are *only* trying to get to the Orange Line, doing so on a train is a lot better than doing it on a bus.
In terms of population, Mattapan and Roxbury have about 90,000 residents at pretty decent density. This is about the same as the population of Quincy when the Red Line was extended out there in 1971 (and Quincy is more spread out). It's more people than Arlington and Lexington had in the 1980's when the Red Line was going to be extended that way (and those towns have much lower population density than this corridor). Considering the number of Blue Line West crayons out there sending it to Brookline or Newton (less dense areas) I'm not sure why Roxbury and Mattapan would have lower demand for an HRT trunk than those places, especially considering more riders there are transit-dependent, which is why tens of thousands of people are willing to put up with slow bus service through crowded streets to get to the Orange Line. I'll concede that these projects were/would be cheaper, but the populations there are also less dense and less transit-dependent so the per-passenger investment might not be as different at the end of the day.
As far as the specifics of the one-seat crosstown, I agree that jogging out to the Esplanade is pretty inconvenient if you're trying to get to South Station or DTX. Having better Regional Rail at BBY would help a lot with the South Station connection, and the OL/GL option would still be there at "Trinity." Connecting with the RL at Charles/MGH is perfectly fine if you're going west, it's really only the eastbound Red Line connection that gets significantly inconvenienced by a few minutes. It's certainly not perfect, but few suggestions are when it comes to digging around in downtown. If we delete Bowdoin (very doable), despite going around-the-world a bit, the actual number of stops between Nubian and Govt Center/State St isn't terrible. Blackstone is the last station on the Washington St alignment, so then you have: Tremont, "Trinity," Esplanade, MGH, Govt Center, State.
I think that it's a little hard to gauge the pent-up demand for the possible trips people would take on this, because it's coloring a bit outside the box. The sentence "Blue Line to Mattapan" would probably strike most people as bizarre until they look at how all the pieces fit. So you don't have many people who have built their potential commutes around a service like this. It's a little bit like the Regional Rail/NSRL discussion: sure, if you look at current demand you'd find very few people aching for a train between Lynn and Brockton. But that's because it's never existed, so transit-dependent people in Brockton would never look for jobs in Lynn and vice versa. If you establish the link, though, the constituency can start to build.
So what I like about this proposal is that it opens up a lot of interesting possibilities:
Personally, I think the biggest weakness of the proposal is that it can't provide the ride directly up Washington Street to DTX -- you'd likely need some sort of surface link at Blackstone to facilitate this (in my ideal world we'd pedestrianize Washington to the Pike, which would help with bus speeds for this specific trip). I suppose the most direct solution to that problem is just redoing the old Orange Line route -- just underground this time -- but branching Orange (especially somewhere central like Tufts) would cause other issues. Surface-level Light Rail to Nubian and RLX-Mattapan are certainly cheaper, but this still leaves a gap between Nubian and Mattapan (I'd hope that RLX-Mattapan happens anyway, turning Mattapan Square into a real transit hub of its own).
As a new person to the forum I'm not totally sure what the Urban Ring BRT you're mentioning would look like, so I can't comment on that.
Some thoughts on potential demand:
I started thinking about this route after looking at the bus networks in Roxbury, especially the Nubian - Roxbury Xing - Ruggles "triangle" where you have a large number of people trying to get to a rapid transit line.
My (admittedly amateurish) read is that this shows a pretty strong demand corridor past Nubian. You've got 19, 23, 28, 44 and 45 (which has a slightly different routing but close enough to count) all coming up Warren/BHA to serve Nubian before bringing to the Orange Line connections. Those five lines together were moving about 30,000 people per day according to the 2018 profiles, and while that ridership doesn't perfectly match on the this proposal it shows enough potential to warrant a closer look. Even if we assume that people are *only* trying to get to the Orange Line, doing so on a train is a lot better than doing it on a bus.
In terms of population, Mattapan and Roxbury have about 90,000 residents at pretty decent density. This is about the same as the population of Quincy when the Red Line was extended out there in 1971 (and Quincy is more spread out). It's more people than Arlington and Lexington had in the 1980's when the Red Line was going to be extended that way (and those towns have much lower population density than this corridor). Considering the number of Blue Line West crayons out there sending it to Brookline or Newton (less dense areas) I'm not sure why Roxbury and Mattapan would have lower demand for an HRT trunk than those places, especially considering more riders there are transit-dependent, which is why tens of thousands of people are willing to put up with slow bus service through crowded streets to get to the Orange Line. I'll concede that these projects were/would be cheaper, but the populations there are also less dense and less transit-dependent so the per-passenger investment might not be as different at the end of the day.
As far as the specifics of the one-seat crosstown, I agree that jogging out to the Esplanade is pretty inconvenient if you're trying to get to South Station or DTX. Having better Regional Rail at BBY would help a lot with the South Station connection, and the OL/GL option would still be there at "Trinity." Connecting with the RL at Charles/MGH is perfectly fine if you're going west, it's really only the eastbound Red Line connection that gets significantly inconvenienced by a few minutes. It's certainly not perfect, but few suggestions are when it comes to digging around in downtown. If we delete Bowdoin (very doable), despite going around-the-world a bit, the actual number of stops between Nubian and Govt Center/State St isn't terrible. Blackstone is the last station on the Washington St alignment, so then you have: Tremont, "Trinity," Esplanade, MGH, Govt Center, State.
I think that it's a little hard to gauge the pent-up demand for the possible trips people would take on this, because it's coloring a bit outside the box. The sentence "Blue Line to Mattapan" would probably strike most people as bizarre until they look at how all the pieces fit. So you don't have many people who have built their potential commutes around a service like this. It's a little bit like the Regional Rail/NSRL discussion: sure, if you look at current demand you'd find very few people aching for a train between Lynn and Brockton. But that's because it's never existed, so transit-dependent people in Brockton would never look for jobs in Lynn and vice versa. If you establish the link, though, the constituency can start to build.
So what I like about this proposal is that it opens up a lot of interesting possibilities:
- One seat from Mattapan to Logan (or Revere/Lynn)
- Very quick two-seat to Kendall
- Opens up a part of the city to transit riders from other lines (how many Cambridge transplants even know that Boston has a zoo?)
- Running Franklin through Fairmount (reducing NEC traffic) becomes more feasible since people going to BBY can still get there via Blue
- (foamer scope creep alert) Keep going south through Milton via 138, past Curry College, all the way to the 128. You could put a Park & Ride garage a la Quincy Adams there that would be positioned to soak up traffic from 95 and 24. With a one-seat ride to BBY, Govt Center, State Street, and Logan (and better price/frequency/span than Route 128), there's potential to pick up southside commuters who aren't going to South Station.