I’m optimistic that the train is just such a nicer mode of transport than the bus even with longer travel time that it will attract riders who’d never consider the bus. I’d also imagine the CR would be used well for weekend and holiday leisure combined with UMass Dartmouth student trips.
I don't think that your optimism is unfounded. Having lived and commuted from the South Coast for a long time, the bus wasn't something anyone other than regular commuters really thought about as an option for getting to/from Boston. On the other hand, the Commuter Rail is commonly used by people heading to games, the Aquarium, concerts, the airport, etc. The stations are very visible, train-specific, and in prominent locations as opposed to park & rides and downtown bus stations that most locals avoid. The novelty factor of riding on a train combined with avoiding traffic on the the highway is also a big part of the appeal. Cost might also be factor. Peter Pan, Dattco (when it was running) , and Bloom can cost $30 or more round trip whereas the Commuter Rail is $24.50 on weekdays and $10 on weekends with a weekend pass. Kids under 11 are free on MBTA trains but they're full-fare on the buses. Even with the stupid long ride times, it's still a better (and faster) option than the bus on most days.
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