Spurred on by rapid expansion from Delta and JetBlue, Logan is outpacing growth at other airports across the country. Here’s what that means for residents and visitors alike.www.bostonglobe.com
Current Trajectory throws Logan with a current 4.5% growth in passengers this year. Take into account DL and B6 expansions, we probably go up to about 6%. Take into account WN downsizes, we head off back to about 4-5%. SO I think 2019 will see a 4.5% growth in passengers in comparison to 2018, putting it at a comfortable 42,800,000 passengers for 2019. I think 2020 will see better increases as the 737 Max wil be put back into service (hopefully) and we get a full year of what seems to be DL and B6 growth. I wouldnt be surprised if 2020 sees over 7% growth altogether. I could see up to 46.5 million pax travelling through Logan in 2020, and 49 million by 2021 and 51 million by 2022. DL hub growth and B6 increases are going to bring in a lot of new service and connections too, so keep that in mind. Boston will become slightly less OD overall. Would love to see Logan pass the 50 million mark by 2022... but honestly could see it anytime from 2021-2023. With E growth and expansions, Logan could handle another 2-3 million passenegrs before it maxes out what it has.
I wouldnt say its completely out of the question to say Logan could handle 55 million by 2025, Granted theres no recession.. if there is add 2-5 more years to that.
However for BOS to pass MCO, SEA and LAS (Which hold the bottom of the top 10 list) is absurd. I cannot see BOS surpassing any of those airports. CLT? MIA? EWR? PHX? Sure. But there would have to be something explosionary to propell BOS into the top 10. If someone asked where I think BOS would rank in 2025, id throw my best guess at #12. But going 16-->12 is half the work going from 12-->10.