F-line - Can you list the top 2-3 changes we would need in order to reduce the singularity at DTX? In JumboBuc's terms - how do we reduce X? Is there is a combination of prerequisites that makes branching Orange feasible?
I assume RBX is one. Does NSRL contribute meaningfully? Urban Ring? and if so, which parts specifically?
Red-Blue is the #1 reliever be flushing double-transferees from the Park and DTX platforms. You have to complement that with the whole bag of egress tricks at those two stations in tandem. Completing Silver Line Phase III or a Green Line-Seaport equivalent is then #2 with a bullet as R-B's positive effects on Red specifically will not be everlasting as growth continues unabated from both the north and the south. After this many decades of delays on both projects we have to consider the relative shovel-readiness of R-B as a five-alarm urgency, because putting Seaport-Back Bay through a full redesign and funding process is going to easily chew all of the ensuing time before R-B relief gets re-topped by new growth. So getting a study re-start on #2 is also five-alarm urgent.
Beyond that NSRL should help Orange quite a lot especially by disentangling Back Bay (so does relocating the E off Copley Jct. to reattach it to Boylston via a Back Bay stop...but not as much as NSRL). However, NSRL will probably sock Red pretty hard with new ridership sources when the northside gets hooked up to the headway juvenation machine. You will definitely need the Urban Ring by that point if not sooner triaging Harvard, Greater Kendall, and Sullivan on the grade-separated north half...with stiff BRT presence on the street-running Dudley/Ruggles-Broadway south flank and possibly some Green Line interlining augmentation (discussed elsewhere this week) to lend the south Ring buses a load-spreading assist. And in turn working the extra touches at Harvard (UR branch) and Porter (GLX extension) helps Red a lot by fully leveraging the empty contraflow direction from Harvard/Porter as a perma-solve for keeping unbounded Alewife growth from having to chain straight off the downtown singularities.
Consider all of those mandatory...and decades tardy by this point. It's already beyond consensus that we need each and every one of those. After that things get a lot more mid-century speculative (Blue-Kenmore, major Green Line alt.-spining/interlining reboot, possible need to use whichever of the two Congress-or-CA/T alignments doesn't get used for NSRL to alt-spine another north-south HRT line through downtown). Not so much because of questions about whether such additional pieces would be useful, but because they pretty much
demand R-B, Back Bay-Seaport, UR, and NSRL all get built first to truly exploit their value. So the top-most priorities end up utterly uncontroversial on need/purpose. Obviously for project sequencing Red-Blue is the duh-obvious most impactful one to pick up because it can be done quickest and its benefits are
most laser-like focused on the troublesome Park-DTX-State transfer trio. Green-Transitway is less for taming ten-years-ago's problem dwells like R-B than putting the clamps on exploding South Station loads from grinding everything to a halt by ripping the Park-DTX transfer wound immediately wide open again. But there again, the more decades we keep staring into the abyss on doing it at all the closer that day of dwell reckoning comes, so we've got to start getting this show on the road at least at the re-study level.