Just because there are logical ways that something like Red-Blue or South Station Expansion gets done doesn't mean that they happen. At this moment, SSX is held up by tripartite negotiations between MassDOT, the Postal Service, and Massport, with USPS under basically no pressure to move. Where does that pressure come from, if not this? How do we ensure that under the possible/likely incoming Republican administration all of that money for DMUs and SSX doesn't just vanish into the wind? Boston has a long legacy of obvious infrastructure improvements that have simply stagnated, and that's the kind of legacy that Barcelona, for example, was able to address with an Olympics.
If there are logical ways that something gets done, and logical reasons why it should get done, with logical consequences if it doesn't get done, then I'm comfortable saying the odds are pretty damn good that something is going to get done.
If we're going to approach this from the argument that no matter how the starts and the moon and the sun align, only a message delivered down to us from on high in the form of the Olympics will ever, ever, ever get anything built - well, number one, I think that's patently ridiculous because the world doesn't work that way. Projects like Red-Blue can't be delayed forever because there's a very clear pain point where there's no longer any choice
but to address the problem. That pain point might not be reached for five, ten, or one hundred years... OR it might be reached by this time next year. It's entirely a function of how many people try to make that move over the deficient options currently available, and how much people are willing to tolerate the pain (of congestion, of wasted time, of having to fall back on the alternative...) before something gives. Other projects happen for a variety of reasons - political giveaways to well-to-do constituencies, as part of insider horse trading/legal remediation deals, attempts to revitalize disenfranchised communities - but the point is that plenty of things get built, fixed, upgraded or destroyed for a whole variety of reasons, even here; and even here it shouldn't and I feel that it wouldn't take an Olympics for the majority of projects that are the target of a "sensible" Olympics bid to get built.
Which brings me to the second point: if, in fact, we assume that it will take something on the magnitude of the Olympics - how the hell do you plan on getting anything done on a sustainable basis? There's always going to be a backlog of projects that have to get built, but the number of times you have the opportunity for something on the level of an Olympics is miniscule. So if we're accepting that nothing will ever get done without that degree of push behind it, we're essentially also accepting that the list of Olympics projects is all that will ever get built in the next 50+ years.
Again, I think that's ridiculous, I think that we're perfectly capable of getting everything that a reasonable Olympics would promote finished and delivered without the Olympics, and because of that, I think the insinuation that we "need" the Olympics for reasonable improvements doesn't hold water.
As for the 2024 vs. 2036 question: You bid when you can win. A US city will be the favorite to host the 2024 Oympics for a variety of reasons that have nothing to do with Boston, LA, or any other contender. Once that happens, the Games won't come back to the United States until the 2040s at the earliest. Cities like Beijing and Athens that tried multiple consecutive times can get away with that because they're the only potential host in their countries. In the US, once a city fails, it's done for a couple of cycles (see NYC and Chicago).
Perfect! Us losing the bid and one of the other US cities winning it suddenly make the time-table for transformative projects versus time to delivery line up perfectly with having the Link commemorated as the Governor Michael S. Dukakis Memorial Tunnel and sending the Olympic Torch through on a ceremonial train ahead of the opening ceremonies for Boston 2040.
It's plausible that the USOC decides to hold off, but given the enthusiasm in both Boston and LA and the IOC's current responsibility-friendly stance in the face of recent (and upcoming) embarrassment that seems unlikely. So, you can either get the very real and very substantial benefits to urbanism and infrastructure (that may in fact include some projects that AB thinks are "impossible") that come with the Games now (opposite significant costs), or you can not do that. In all likelihood, those are your choices.
As I said before, this isn't a bid that Boston's equipped to win.
Boston's not equipped to win this bid because LA has the benefit of having done it before (and if the pivot by the IOC to "reasonable" Olympics has any credibility whatsoever, they're going with the place that already has the most purpose-built infrastructure AND the proven record from prior experience), and DC has the benefit of being the seat of federal power and the national capital (and what better way to showcase your country to the world, than by hosting the Olympics from the national capital? Furthermore, being the seat of federal power, it's much easier to garner willingness to spend money down there.) If it's coming down to two finalist cities, it's coming down to those two and it's entirely on the whims of Congress to decide if they want it in their own backyard or on the other side of the country. Whichever way you slice it, Boston's already out of the running and has been for a while.
So, in conclusion-
Would you rather we argued about a Somerville Soccer Stadium instead?