You are, of course, assuming there are no government subsidies of oil companies. I'm not sure that is actually the case.
So because Lurker is against subsidizing EV's, he is for subsidizing oil?
Thats a 2004 Iraq-war-justification level of jump.
You are, of course, assuming there are no government subsidies of oil companies. I'm not sure that is actually the case.
Electric Cars were the rage in 1900 then along came a far superior motive source the internal combustion engine -- the market flushed them within a decade
well despite the best efforts of the politicians the majority of the reasons for the demise of the original electric cars -- are still there:
1) batteries are much less efficient by volume or mass at storing energy than liquid fuel to be burned at high temperature -- think your average Honda Civic will go 300+ miles with its 10 gallons of gasoline -- the Chevy Volt will go about 40 miles on its collection of batteries
2) Filling a car takes seconds -- filling a battery takes hours
3) In this climate Internal Combustion Engine waste heat is a useful byproduct in the wintertime with EVs you need to waste precious energy stored in your battery just to make heat -- further cutting your range
4) in other climates (and occasionally here as well) you need to air condition -- this takes significant amounts of energy and will reduce the range of any vehicle -- BUT it is especially critical with EV's due to (1,2 and even 3 when you need the dehumidification and heat to defog the windshield)
There are additional issues (such as what do you use to generate the electricity to charge the batteries and how do you get the electricity to where you need it without wholesale rebuilding of the grid) --- but just 1-4 are sufficient to make EV's unlikely to penetrate the general market without major subsidies or coercion
1) battery technology is the same now as it was in 1900? if not, why even bring it up?
2). And you can buy a RAM that gets 1,200 miles. How is that important? The average suburban american drives less than 40 miles a day. Bostown car owners probably no more than 20. Well within range.
3) Filling a battery does indeed take hours. Thats what nights are for, when electricity is being wasted.
4) You can heat your car while plugged in.
5) It doesnt take subsidies or coercion to get people to give up ICE cars. It takes $5+ gas.
Smess
I'll believe that one when I see it -- you know that the Indy and Nascar guys can change tires and fuel in well under a minute -- but I wouldn't expect that anytime soon at Sears Auto
There are many problems with the idea of changing batteries including:
1) Lack of Standardization -- all of the vendors will have different battery boxes, differently located and connected
2) These stations need to be everywhere since you don't know when you need to do the change without knowing where the other stations are located, depending on weather, road conditions, traffic
3) These batteries have to be recharged rapidly that takes high power, specialized cooling, etc
Clever but very unlikely to work except with fleets of identical vehicles (Taxis?, delivery vans, government cars, buses at Logan, perhaps ZipCar).
You need to come to terms with the fact that the Internal Combustion engines will be the dominant motive source for moving people for the next 3 or more decades in spite of any imaginable breakthroughs in batteries just due to the sheer numbers of cars in peoples hands
Charge time is actually improving at a decent pace. Tesla's Model S will be available in a 300 mile variety. The charging infrastructure is not yet in place nor is the scale required to make advanced electric vehicles affordable for the lower-middle class, but these are both underway and slowly beginning to feed on one another. It's only a matter of time before charging stations are ubiquitous. Unlike a gas station these can be placed anywhere; in your garage at home, at work, anywhere you stop to eat, etc. Oil costs will go up and down as always, but will continue to trend upward while the terribly inefficient combustion engine limps toward obsolescence.