As a former resident of Newton who grew up minutes from the D and used it often, it would be awful for Newton (and worse for Needham) to convert that line to HRT. Newton folks tend to use the Green Line to get between parts of Newton more than to get to Boston - I know of very few people who regularly went beyond Chestnut Hill - and for that purpose LRT as it's currently built works fine.
I'm not sure I follow that more service with larger and more capable trains is a bad thing.
This is even more important when talking about the extension to Needham, since that line isn't grade separated and would be pretty well embedded in village centers. Even where HRT exists at grade (I'm thinking about Chicago here), it tends to be ugly and uninviting, with heavy fencing of the ROW due to the third-rail safety issue. LRT is much less intimidating.
I counted only five grade crossings along the Needham extension route; doesn't seem like it would be much trouble to plop a cut-and-cover tunnel or short viaduct over these roads. There's a simple solution for the third rail: overhead catenary. The Blue Line already uses catenary from Airport to Wonderland so the rolling stock is already capable of switching. Not to mention I can't see it being a huge issue to convert the third rail segment from Bowdoin-Airport back to catenary so the line is all one mode.
People in Needham won't be using this service to get to Boston since they'll have either truncated CR or Orange Line for that, making fewer stops at higher speeds. Similarly, folks from Riverside and points west won't (and don't) go all the way into Boston that way much, since under a full build-out there would be DMU or HRT along the Pike.
As I've said before, the D and Needham lines are primarily intra-suburban lines with redundant faster spokes to Downtown. That's about as clear-cut a context for LRT as you can get.
I wouldn't be so quick to count out Needham-Downtown Boston commuters via a Green Line extension. And I can't see Needham ever having
both the Orange Line and Green Line serving it. Further, I would think that if a Green Line branch were built, you'd actually see Commuter Rail traffic plummet from Needham as a result of more frequent, reliable service.
Theoretically, it might just be almost identical travel times from Needham to Downtown via either:
Blue-D Combination:
Needham Center-Kenmore: 13 stops, 30 minutes (20 mins from Newton Highlands + 10 mins for Needham extension)
Needham Center-Clarendon: 15 stops, 34 minutes (2 mins for each additional station)
Needham Center-Government Center: 19 stops, 42 minutes (2 mins for each additional station)
Orange Line Extension:
Needham Center-Forest Hills: 7 stops, 18 minutes (current CR blocked at 26 mins - this assumes upgrades to allow for faster travel... YMMV)
Needham Center-Back Bay: 14 stops, 30 minutes (current Orange Line blocked at 12 mins Forest Hills-Back Bay)
Needham Center-State Street: 18 stops, 39 minutes (current Orange Line blocked at 9 mins Back Bay-State Street)
Here's the most practical way of going, in my opinion - I think this will raise some ire, but I model this after real multimodality like you can see in Toronto.
GLX, Central Subway and D Line - complete heavy rail conversion
B and C become street-running light rail OVER the central subway, primarily through the Back Bay in one-way pairs along Newbury and Boylston using one current parking lane of each street. Kenmore's overbuilt bus shelter can now be used for these light rail lines, which, downtown, loop around the Commons to connect at Park Street.
E tunnel from Prudential gets continued cut-and-cover along Stuart Street, rises to a surface median where Stuart/Kneeland widens, and continues up Atlantic into the SL tunnel to South Station and out to the Seaport. The disused Tremont Street Tunnel can be repurposed - its northernmost section as a pedestrian concourse between the Boylston Street heavy rail station and a light rail Stuart/Charles street station; the section south of Stuart Street as an F line light rail branch from the E mainline to Dudley.
Whatcha think? Ready to bring back the streetcars?
Wasn't the original purpose of the subways and els to get rid of streetcars Downtown.
I'm not seeing as much value in converting the Central Subway to heavy rail with prospects like branching service from Boylston towards the east and south, and consequenses like eliminating through subway service on two Green Line branches instead of augmenting what is already there.
It also seems like messing around with those tunnels is flirting with trouble; who knows what kind of craziness might be involved with converting them to heavy rail. I do like the idea of a relocated E Line via Stuart Street. Why not leave the Central Subway as-is for light rail service, with the Riverbank Subway (heavy rail) and Stuart Street Subway (light rail) to better distribute traffic?
While we're at it, can we do something to speed the B?
EDIT: Can someone explain why it is scheduled to take 7-8 minutes from Boston University East to Kenmore? That is a distance of 0.5 miles and the B has it's own approach to Kenmore, with one stop in between at Blandford Street. This is 4 miles an hour. Could a 500 foot cut and cover through Silber Way and turning Granby Street into a right turn only lane save riders 6 minutes?
I feel like speeding up the B Line is a weekly discussion here: signal priority, stop eliminations, communications-based train control... pick any one and we'd see noticeable gains. Do all three (a crazy transit pitch in and of itself) and we'd have a completely different Green Line on our hands.
As for BU East-Kenmore, I think the pocket track switches and the stop signal at the bottom of the tunnel just before Kenmore are enough of a hindrance to warrant that schedule time. It typically doesn't take that long, though, considering most conductors blast through the pocket track area.