Brattle Loop
Senior Member
- Joined
- Apr 28, 2020
- Messages
- 1,163
- Reaction score
- 2,077
Combined with the discussion over in the MassDOT rail thread, This actually lends itself to an interesting hypothetical: You are MassDOT secretary. You have been given 2.5 Billion 2020 dollars in federal funding, which cannot be diverted to another mode. To access it, you alone must choose to advance one of 2 projects; you cannot complete both. It is up to you to choose which one will be a better use of limited funds and will be better for the commonwealth as a whole. Which one would you choose, and why?
Given the realities of constrained fiscal means, I honestly think that in the before 2035 timeframe it'll come down to a choice between the two.
- You can complete SCR Full Build, restoring the Stoughton alignment with electrification. (The 2017 full build cost estimate was ~3.4 billion, - ~1.1 Phase 1= 2.3B + time escalation)
- You can build some version of East-West rail. (The cheaper build alternatives come in around that Mark, option 3 coming in at ~2.4B in 2020 dollars.)
Much like SCR was, E-W rail is being pitched as the shot in the arm that will cure the ailing economies of Western Mass urban centers - and their ridership numbers are no worse than projected for SCR (?)
Personally... I think I'd advance SCR, but that's not relying on any empirical data whatsoever- just a personal opinion. The EW alignment isn't going anywhere anytime soon, but SCR would have significant knock on effects on the rest of the network. With Full Build, you can conceivably have timed meets at Canton Junction to provide 2 seat rides to Providence, (far from ideal, but possible / future service via the Attleboro connector) as well as providing relief for the Old Colony Line and attendant possible extension to Bourne & The Cape.
Politically however.... Now that Fall River and New Bedford have their trains, no matter how hampered... I think Springfield may have a strong argument for being included in the connectivity map for the sake of completionism if nothing else.
I'd do full-build SCR and roll the dice on Amtrak and NY helping out with East-West to bolster their Springfield, Albany, and other services. At least out west there's some other interested parties, SCR is basically all-Massachusetts.