Fall River/New Bedford Commuter Rail (South Coast Rail)

While researching the project history, I came across the 2009 corridor plan. It called for substantial mixed-use (re}development around basically every station save Battleship Cove (and Easton Village, which would have adaptive reuse of the historic buildings). And I mean substantial - here's what would replace a storage facility and trees in Freetown...
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and replacing a strip mall and light industrial at Kings Highway (now Church Street):
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While there certainly are arguments to be had about the greenfield development at Freetown, and whether the service would really support enough TOD to allow low/no-car living, it was certainly an ambitious plan. It's also why the ridership projections at that time (especially before the Army Corps fucked over the FEIR) were so rosy: the project was supposed to be more than just parking lots on dead-end streets and behind strip malls.
 
And on that depressing note, here are my photos of construction progress.

Middleborough:
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Church Street:
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Fall River:
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New Bedford had no visible construction progress, the access road to East Taunton is behind a locked gate, and I sadly didn't have time to see Freetown.

Bonus: the old Lakeville station on Route 18, last used for rail service in 1931, was recently restored - and I saw a Facebook post indicating that a railfan has rented it.
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More depressing is the fact that daily commuter rail service is being removed from the existing Middleborough/Lakeville station to accommodate SCR phase 1. Hundreds of residential units were built near the station since it opened in 1997 (Sterling Place Apartments and Kensington Court Apartments). So much for claims the state is committed to transit oriented development.

I have mixed feelings on this. I agree with you that through some lenses, this is not a good look for the state. As a developer, it would be in the back of my mind if I was considering a TOD proposal somewhere outside of the urban core. If I was a commuter living in either of those apartments, I'd be peeved too. The walk to the new location along 105 (past several on/off ramps) isn't exactly a pleasant one.

But I think the new location is generally a better one than the original. It's much better connected (fairly easy walk) to Middleborough Center which has pretty solid town center bones. And while you are moving further from Sterling Place and Kensington Court, there's a lot of existing residential development and reasonably good density within walking distance of the new location. It's really ideal for both people driving to the station (right off of 495) and walking from the densest part of the area (Middleborough Center).

And while I don't love the move away from Kensington Court and Sterling Place, those two developments were never the commuter hubs that they were advertised to be. For this region of the state, they're rare rentals outside of the bigger cities (FR, NB, Taunton) in a "safe" town with a good school district. They're largely sought after by families who live/work in the area and can't afford to buy a home. It's extremely hard to build rental units like these in a town like Lakeville and the station ("TOD!") was certainly the catalyst. But the market for rentals in these suburban communities is underserved and it's not all (or even mostly) Boston commuters snapping them up. I'm certain there are some commuters living there, but I rarely saw people walking over when I was regularly taking peak trains from Middleborough/Lakeville.
 
There's also not much walkable from those apartments - you still need a car to get groceries, go to the downtown shops, etc.
 
There's also not much walkable from those apartments - you still need a car to get groceries, go to the downtown shops, etc.
I mean you do have Baldie's and Marylou's... what else do you need?!

I think the reality for "TOD" this far out of Boston (or any real urban center) is that most people will still use cars for much of their day to day. The big change will be not requiring a car for any part of the work commute (which is still a win). Having a grocery store and several other amenities (particularly entertainment) within walking distance is a plus. It's probably not true TOD, but that's what I think it looks like this far out. The new location checks most of those boxes. There are plenty of single family homes within walking distance to the station and a downtown with a handful of bars, shops, and restaurants easily accessible on foot. Technically you have a supermarket within a 20 or so minute walk from much of the Center, but getting to Hannaford is not a safe or enjoyable pedestrian experience. Most will opt to drive. Hopefully the new station location will trigger some development in Middleborough Center that will make it easier for residents to leave the car parked. But culturally, I don't know that this is the type of place that's going to embrace that change. It is pickup truck country after all.
 
Todays board update puts the project around 30% complete with an finishing date in late 2023: https://cdn.mbta.com/sites/default/files/2022-02/10. SCR MBTA Board Briefing 2.24.22.pdf

One of my favorite pieces of that briefing is this:

• Note: Taunton, Fall River & New Bedford are the only 3 cities within 50 miles of Boston not served by commuter rail

What about Marlborough? Gardner? Methuen? And that's if we're only talking within the state of MA. Woonsocket, Pawtucket (technically, and for the short term), Nashua, and Manchester are all within 50 miles and without service too (Portsmouth is right on the edge).
 
One of my favorite pieces of that briefing is this:

• Note: Taunton, Fall River & New Bedford are the only 3 cities within 50 miles of Boston not served by commuter rail

What about Marlborough? Gardner? Methuen? And that's if we're only talking within the state of MA. Woonsocket, Pawtucket (technically, and for the short term), Nashua, and Manchester are all within 50 miles and without service too (Portsmouth is right on the edge).

Heck, Watertown is a city :)
 
Consolidating some data from that table into plausible extensions (not including infills on active CR lines). Direct distance and rail distance to the terminal, new rail distance, population (of listed municipalities only), and when the last service was operated. On these metrics alone, SCR and Manchester are very similar on mileage and population. However, Manchester will likely be a more valuable extension for several reasons:
  • More of the new population is closer to Boston: Nashua (115k) at 35 miles and Chelmsford (36k) at 22 miles, versus Taunton (59k) at 32 miles.
  • No branching or single track, so higher frequency possible
  • Enough demand to justify local-express pattern, shortening travel times compared to local-only, and giving Lowell express service as well
  • Doesn't compete with Cape Cod service for limited slots

LineTerminusCrowDistanceNewPopulationLast service
Agricultural BranchClinton324523.673k1931
Cape Main LineHyannis6378.542.9137k1959 (1988)
Falmouth BranchFalmouth6068.513.532k1959 (1988)
Eastern RoutePortsmouth5256.920.678k1967
EssexDanvers1621.45.183k1968
FranklinMilford2836.86.147k1920 (1940)
Manchester and LawrenceManchester Airport4448.222.8143k1953
NH Main LineConcord6373.347.7349k1967 (1981)
NH Main LineManchester4855.730.1305k1967 (1981)
South Coast RailFR/NB46/5057.6/61.036.1288k1958
Western RouteDover5967.134.278k1967
 
The Proposed FY23-27 CIP mentions "two South Coast Rail projects", I wonder what the chances of Phase 2 actually happening are.

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(page 32)

EDIT: Never mind, I just realized that the second project they're mentioning is the rolling stock procurement, not Phase 2.
 

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