If Boston had a version of the London Overground... game changer.
But that's another topic for another thread.
This thread is literally just taking all the Green Line ideas and putting them in their own specific thread. So when you say that upgrading the Worcester Line would effect the Green Line congestion there is a disconnect between what we are talking about and what you are talking about.
Sure, but.
The issue here is that transit should work as a system. As a simple example of this, I'm very down on using a Green Line branch to connect Allston to Harvard, even though I think such a connection is useful, because it should be part of another line.
The point I'm making with the Worcester Line is that, since it parallels the busiest Green Line branch and serves the areas seeing the most ongoing and expected future development, it could take meaningful traffic off the line, decongesting it to the point that the flat junction at Copley is not a problem. Obviously, current traffic fits within current capacity. This isn't the Lexington Line in New York. The issue is extensions, then.
F-Line-style extensions aren't a capacity problem, because the Tremont/Boylston junction is grade-separated. So really the question is whether the useful extensions to the existing lines create a capacity crunch at Copley. I think everyone in this thread agrees that two such extensions are at least plausible (I think both should be built but I don't know if everyone agrees): E to Arborway, D.5 diverging from D at Newton Highlands to serve Needham. Both would add substantial traffic to Copley, so it's worth asking whether E to Tremont would be required.
I believe it would not be. I am not certain of that. My reasoning is as follows:
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In the presence of commuter rail modernization, Riverside loses value, since it no longer provides better service than Auburndale. Eliot, Waban, and Woodland are all low-ridership. This means that D.5 can be achieved by halving the frequency of the existing D branch and diverting half the trains to Needham, with each half running every 10-15 minutes.
- Since commuter rail modernization hits the B branch the most, it equalizes ridership across different branches, which makes it possible to run each branch at the same frequency, which simplifies scheduling greatly.
- An E branch extension should be entertained only if it has dedicated lanes all the way. This would improve its reliability somewhat, even as traffic went up substantially.
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In the presence of an urban ring, parts of the E branch would be put underground. I think the urban ring is crazy using the original definition of "should be funded only after the NSRL is in place," but solid using the definition of "could get decent ridership for the cost." At least in my conception, the urban ring zigzags away from the 66 route to hit the Orange Line and commuter rail at Ruggles, running under Huntington between Mission Park and the Museum of Fine Arts. This would naturally include an extension of the E tunnel, which would improve E reliability even more.
I've made an unspoken assumption so far, so let me be explicit: the problem is not physical capacity, since the Green Line used to have way more traffic than it does today measured in tph, but reliability. The line's current operations require relatively constant headways. Past operations did not. Current operations also involve far more car traffic than there used to be, which makes headway maintenance harder.
The solution, which I haven't talked about so far, is signal priority on all street-running segments. It's practically free. It just requires picking a fight with NIMBYs who think a train with 200 people should wait at a red light for a handful of cars with 1 person each.
It sounds like a small deal, but good signal priority is an immense speed booster. Again using Vancouver as an example, the east-west arterials on the Westside have signal priority over all north-south traffic, except at the arterials (of which there are 3), where the buses stop anyway. This means that, unintentionally, the buses have signal priority. The 4th Avenue limited-stop buses maintain average speeds of almost 30 km/h between Burrard and UBC; the 99, which runs on more densely developed Broadway, still averages 21 km/h.
Now, those Vancouver limited-stop buses may be fast, but they bunch. They're still buses, running at very short headways. On 4th Avenue, some (maybe half?) aren't even articulated. The bunching is caused by congestion in the more central parts of Broadway, and long boarding times at the UBC Loop. That's why I'm so adamant about all-door boarding everywhere: it both speeds up boarding and makes schedules less variable, since small perturbations no longer compound. (The 99 allows all-door boarding, but the 4th Avenue buses do not.)
Finally, again thinking systemwide, Tremont Street Subway reactivation conflicts with the D-E connection idea (to say nothing of the fact that the Urban Ring conflicts with it, too). Traffic projection for light rail to Dudley is already higher than the current traffic of any single Green Line branch. An extension on Blue Hill to Mattapan would make it even busier, while an E reroute to Tremont would make the traffic volume into Tremont higher than the traffic of the B and C branches, especially since commuter rail could take traffic off the B but not the F and only marginally the E-to-Arborway.
Put together, I think the correct plan for the southern/western side of the Green Line is heavier on organization than on concrete:
- Full signal priority on all branches.
- Stop consolidation on the B and C branches, to one stop per 400-500 meters.
- E restoration to Arborway, on dedicated lanes.
- F branch to Mattapan via Tremont and Dudley.
- Possibly, a one-stop extension of the C branch to Chestnut Hill Avenue.
- Elimination of the Needham Line and its replacement with a branch of the D branch.
- An extension of the E tunnel to Mission Park, running partly alongside the Urban Ring subway.
- F branch to Forest Hills via Dudley.
The first five are reasonable, and the last three are crazy. I've been convinced that the F branch to Forest Hills is not useful today, but think it could be useful in a future with commuter rail modernization, since Forest Hills would gain importance.
At the northwestern end, the GLX should be pushing farther out, to West Medford and Brandeis via the Watertown Branch. These are both crazy: West Medford isn't useful as an outer anchor except in the presence of good commuter rail, and the Watertown Branch, while useful, isn't a critical priority.