Re: Lovejoy Wharf
I get the staggering thing, but this is my primary concern, the rental rates. I don't see how, even with all the apartments coming on line, the rental market is going to get any better. Those apartments aren't just meeting a static demand; they're also helping to create demand, just as Boston's improving economy creates demand.
So I guess my question to the economists in the room is: even if all these planned luxury rentals come online in a timely fashion, how is this going to substantially affect the non-luxury market? Is there a comparison to be drawn with New York, in kind if not in quantity?
All those buildings will do more then ok, it's just a matter of timing and people being in leases. That's a short term issue for properties. Come Sept. 1, all those apartments will be filled and then people will trade up.
Boston needs a ton of apts, and a lot are permitted. Developers know that and are going to stagger their timelines to try and avoid competing in the same rental cycle. Without any inside knowledge, this would be my guess as to why the 3/4 buildings proposed and permitted on the backside of north station have been lagging. After these fill, and the bruins/celtics end, I bet the basketball city towers get going. Nashua street hopefully early spring.
There is also a huge demand for condos and i bet many that jumped to rental are exploring the early condo cash out.
This staggering is a short term reaction to buildings and not a change in demand fundamentals. I think the crucial part of the longer-term equation is if Boston can maintain the healthy pace that supports developer interest and conversion but also slows rental rate growth to a more natural/inflationary level.
I get the staggering thing, but this is my primary concern, the rental rates. I don't see how, even with all the apartments coming on line, the rental market is going to get any better. Those apartments aren't just meeting a static demand; they're also helping to create demand, just as Boston's improving economy creates demand.
So I guess my question to the economists in the room is: even if all these planned luxury rentals come online in a timely fashion, how is this going to substantially affect the non-luxury market? Is there a comparison to be drawn with New York, in kind if not in quantity?