F-Line to Dudley
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What are your thoughts on the Blue Line taking over D branch of GL seeing that the tracks having its own ROW and the stations spaced further apart?
I see what you're saying though and it seems to be a good 2 for 1 deal. I'm kind of lost on exactly why this portion of the river couldn't be drained temporarily. I'm only considering this being for the project to have a minimal impact on existing infrastructure.
Well...doesn't get much more minimal than this build. The above-surface box tunneling is considerably, considerably cheaper than full subsurface tunneling requiring extremely expensive active flood mitigation in the form of pumps, pumps, and more pumps the whole length...a cost killer that torpedoes the whole build. You can't drain the river to mitigate the flood risk...there's nowhere for it to go when the sea level of the Harbor inches up closer to the top of the dam. The MIT side is well-fortified from the Charles basin by the high retaining wall, points west by retaining wall or earthen embankment. The Esplanade side...nothing, except for that Back St. wall and the BU retaining wall along Beacon Park. The Esplanade is going to get submerged up to the Back St. wall. Regularly. It just is.
The only thing you can do is leverage that Back St. wall as the fortification you glom onto. The slightly surface-poking subway tunnel can do that, and actually make the retaining wall more effective by creating a spillway that drains off of it back into the river. But Storrow EB has to go. You can't have both, because anything cut-and-cover has to be Netherlands-level pump city and that becomes the difference between a $250M tunnel from Charles to Charlesgate and a $2B tunnel.
As for Storrow traffic...the Pike already has Copley Sq. exits in both directions. Additional westbound Pike exits would remove the need for that Storrow midsection on one-half of everyone's commute making a parkway capacity reduction desireable for whacking useless induced demand. The Pike is the easier I-93 access point for all BUT Route 28/Public Gardens, and Kenmore-west is the only place the full parkway is necessary instead of 93 or Copley for reaching the Pike. That midsection traffic doesn't need to be there. Certainly not in 6 lanes worth of sprawl. So there is good impetus for zapping the induced demand, and then tackling the remainder that uses the midsection by baking in a transit trade-in that moves greater number of people per day. It's eminently justifiable whenever we reach the stage in our recovery from asphalt addiction that we're ready to have a serious debate on whether Storrow should or should not be put out to pasture.
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Swallowing D for Blue would not be a good idea for number of reasons.
First, important to note:
NEC FUTURE is going to squeeze the Needham Line out of all slots, necessitating conversion of the line to rapid transit. Requires an Orange extension to West Roxbury, and a Green spur off Newton Highlands to Needham Jct. Just like the 1945 expansion map called for. And it's non-optional, because you can't sack Needham with outright transit loss simply because Amtrak needs HSR slots and the SW Corridor tunnel isn't widen-able to 4 RR tracks (the NEC FUTURE commission has proposed that, but it's an absolute non-starter for the destruction it would cause).
This is a recent sea change in the long-range forecast, so the future need for Needham Line dispersal from CR has changed dramatically from "sitting middle of the priority pile, if we care to get that far" to "it doesn't look like we have any other way around this very real problem, except for changing modes." Therefore, a GL branch to Needham is a virtual certainty to happen before 2035-40. Hopefully with the feds chucking in match funding, because it's their projected choo-choos who are now driving that urgency.
As for D traffic:
- Needham Branch has 8 grade crossings that are hard and very expensive to eliminate in-total. You must mandatorily eliminate them if it's heavy rail. You don't need to eliminate any of them if it's light rail. Cost difference is so stratospheric there's no way you'd consider HRT conversion for even a second...light rail all the way. If we have few choices but to do this project because it's either that or Amtrak not running enough HSR trains to Boston, then who cares about the grade crossings. Trolleys do grade crossings, and 8 widely-spaced crossings on a dedicated ROW is a piece of cake compared to the B/C/D.
- Needham doesn't need particularly tight all-day headways or as much per-train capacity, so double-barreling Blue frequencies to Riverside and Needham exactly like Braintree and Ashmont on Red wastes a lot of capacity. Needham is a branch that has a big/intense...but pretty short...rush-hour peak, while Riverside has a longer peak demand and stays relatively steady throughout the off-peak. You want the option to 1) drop the Needham Branch to 2-car trolleys while Riverside stays 3-cars...and 2) throttle back the Needham off-peak headways quite a bit more than Riverside to not waste train slot. LRT's ideally suited for that level of capacity fine-tuning; HRT is not.
- Branching that far out of town makes schedule-balancing on the mainline a lot harder than Red @ JFK. The herky-jerkiness of train spacing after all those D + subway stops to get to Logan is going to severely crimp your ability to expand north of Revere. Not just Lynn, but the monster North Shore ridership out to Salem. You want a self-contained linear mainline if you want future North Shore extension considerations.
- 6 cars @ 210 total seats per train is way, way too much for even a rush-hour D. The Brookline and Newton stops aren't anywhere near that busy. Just take one look at the Blue Book boardings for the D vs. the Ashmont or Braintree branches. These will be very, very empty trains past Kenmore and Fenway/Longwood and be system-worst on farebox recovery. They aren't empty with right-sizing to 2- or 3-car trolleys based on demand.
- The Urban Ring tunnel through Brookline from BU Bridge is flat-out not buildable per the current Phase III proposal. It's the same alignment as the I-695 tunnel that the neighborhood nuked from orbit 4 decades ago for the path of destruction it would carve. For that reason, if you want the UR to be a rail line you're going to need to bring it into Kenmore via a short Comm Ave. subway extension to BU Bridge. That in turn makes the D Line from Kenmore to Brookline Village a very critical piece you don't want to lose, because it's the only infrastructure you can grab to complete the circuit to UR destinations south of Kenmore.
- Connecting the E to D at Brookline Village allows run-thrus from JP to Kenmore, and hopping platforms to quick-transfer from an inbound off BU Bridge to an outbound hitting Longwood, etc. The stuff coming in from the D can use the Kenmore loop to avoid Central Subway congestion while stuff coming in off the Grand Junction or Harvard spur can continue to Downtown and some thru Riverside/Needham trains can be sent down the E to load-balance, So the Ring can still function exactly as intended despite not having a cross-Brookline one-seat if it's divided into halves meeting at a Kenmore superstation.
- The Ring can get even higher-capacity if the Huntington Subway is continued to Brookline Village for full grade separation, without over-burdening the Kenmore-Brookline Vill. D segment. You can have your southern Ring route branch off of here and loop at Kenmore for the cross-platform transfer that doesn't foul the Central Subway.
- The Ring can get even higher-capacity still if the halves meet at Kenmore and Blue is there as an inbound crowd-swallower for downtown. It'll take so much load off the Central Subway from Kenmore to GC that you can run all kinds of new thru service patterns off the Ring trolley routes.
- ALL of these Ring considerations go out the window if Blue swallows D. There'll be a permanent disconnect between halves because that cross-Brookline tunnel is a nonstarter and flood considerations with the Muddy River @ Fenway won't allow for modern construction to quad up the D to Brookline Village so the HRT trains and LRT/Ring trains can share a ROW. That's doubling the size of Boston's most infamous 'storm drain' during a sea level rise era where the Charles Basin and Muddy mouth are way more vulnerable.
Given all of the above it's just a really crappy overall value to consider HRT conversion for integrity-of-concept's sake. The D works way better as LRT, and becomes an extremely strategic building block out of Kenmore if it stays LRT because of the near-certainty of an eventual Needham Branch, a likelihood of an E-to-D connection enabling some alt routings, and design options for the Urban Ring needing to consider Kenmore transfers and mix/match alt patterns to usefully join the halves that that unbuildable tunnel won't be able to.