MBTA Winter 2015: Failure and Recovery

None of what you just said relates to a carte blanche situation. You can rebuild stations all you want, but it doesn't mean the infrastructure serving them is adequate.

Exactly. For example, the super tight turns around Park Street require customized GL trolleys. That single inefficiency has cost the MBTA millions of dollars in engineering work on its own. So I don't think comparing a modern, well-planned subway system to an old, organically grown system is worthwhile. I think it would be more fruitful to look at older systems like London and see how they are getting by.
 
It is probably evident by now that redevelopment, density, and new development must center on transit or places with demand for riders to promote more riders, which in turn increases revenues for the MBTA. Otherwise, we will be stuck on sprawl, reliance on cars, which demand even more LOW gas prices.

Apparently not for politicians, who don't seem to get that continued underinvestment or divestment from public transit will only harm the economy, even if getting it on the right track costs a bundle in the short term.
 
Transportation and city planning is a political process. Politics of the 20th century in the United States were heavily dominated by the politics of segregation and racism. There's no escaping the fact.

I find that different to the sense you gave when you use words like racist and segregationist. It did not sound like it was written in the sense of how wrong city planners were as they carried through "urban renewing" neighborhoods calculating resistance is least able. It sound like implicating the entire migration. Where many were just looking at it as the most logical choice at the time.

The rise of suburbia was a combination of forces including culture (fascination of cars being then still kinda new technology), priorities (people like the idea of yards and etc), and costs (buying a home is cheaper). Some did happen from the top down. Like when they build Route 128, it was called a "Highway to Nowhere", but in a few years it enable both tech companies and people to go to land where it was cheap but remained equally accessibly as being in the city. But some was from the bottom up - as people started to live farther out and commute in, it did mean more demand to cater to what suburbia wanted. A feedback loop between more service incentivizing people to use and attracting more people for more service.

Not to mention you spoke highway builders in the same sentence as racists. By saying both within one sentence, it is rhetorically put them in the same category. I find that problematic as I point above that I have no issue with Route 128.

I'm using the term 'minority communities' in an expansive, inclusive sense. The communities that were targeted by redlining, by urban renewal, by slum clearance, by all the assortment of racial and ethnically targeted policies of the 20th century.


If I get what you're saying correctly. It seems we are on the same page and you only meant segregationism and racism in urban renewal rather than the rise of suburbia and its participants.

I think classist fits better than if you want to explain in the way how most understand today. While it is true the neighborhoods that was targeted has the ethnic and racial lines, it is no longer instinctual really separate WASP from Italians, Irish, and Jews. Meanwhile working-class remains a common thread and recognizable.


Hong Kong is one example. Japan also provides great examples of this style of development, where land use supports transit, and the agencies are profitable.
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I will say that Tokyo does have a sprawl problem because so much of the city is low-rise. But unlike San Francisco, Tokyo has housing costs under control. And very unlike SF, very unlike Boston, Tokyo's multiple transit agencies are well-run and profitable.

Tokyo remain reasonable while retaining low-rise versus SF because it can sprawl. SF not so much (though it technically can sprawl more, but a lot lands in short distance is conserved).

But yes, as they sprawl and grow. They still built with travel based around the train system and thus high utilization. Meanwhile Boston only reach that level only during rush hour.
 
I'm glad that he's studying -- just doesn't seem to have done the right library work


That line and the stuff below still did not show he a "reddolt" who needs more librarying. Again, he still explain that the unspent money is not money but more debt. Those lines and the entire diatribe below still have no rebuke his breakdown funding origins, budgets, and how money is earmarked.


Here's a simple model leaving out minor elements:

Let TTot == Total Cost of the T for the Fiscal Year

TTot === TOp + TNop
  • Where TOp == sum of total operating expenses such as: [not exhaustive]
    • Salaries + benefits for the Bosses
    • Wages + benefits for the Hourly employees
    • Fuel
    • Electricity
    • Services purchased such as: cleaning, digging snow, patching holes, accountants, lawyers, etc.
    • Materials purchased such as salt, air filters, light bulbs, other materials used in ordinary maintenance of vehicles and facilities
    • Office expenses
    • Travel & other reimbursements
    • Insurance, rent, printing, etc., etc.
    • additional payments for pension plans to cover losses, etc.
  • Where TNop === sum of non operating expenses such as [not exhaustive]
    • Payments on existing financial obligations -- i.e. interest and perhaps refunding
    • Direct Capital expenses including enhancements [i.e. extensions, ADA compliance] and non-ordinary maintenance + minor capital [new snow blowers, snow plows]
    • Costs associated with new financial obligations such as lawyers, accountants
    • Non Capital expenses associated with Capital Expenses such as Consultants, Architects, etc.
    • Costs associated with real estate and other non operating transactions

By Law the T overall has to balance Total Cost with Total Funds -- Note that the T can not borrow outside of the Bonds authorized for issue by the Legislature

Total Funds are a sum of:
  • FOp == Funds raised from operations -- mostly farebox + ads
  • Finv == Funds raised from investments in financial obligations such as associated with pension plans
  • FRnt == Funds raised from rental and leasing
  • FNop == Funds raised from other non operations such as sale of real estate or sale of licenses, etc.
  • FBon == Funds raised from Bond Issues
  • FFed == Funds received from Federal Sources [principally for Capital Projects such as ADA, etc]
  • FMa == Total funds from Commonwealth of MA including:
    • FSTax == Funds from 1% Sales Tax on all eligible sales
    • FAss == Funds from Assessments on T District via local real estate taxes levied on all taxable real estate in the T district
    • FGap == Funds to make up the missing directly appropriated by the Legislature -- basically hitting on all Income Earned and "Unearned" in MA + some of the rest of the sales tax on ordinary purchases, gasoline tax, excise tax on cars, sales taxes on purchase of vehicles, fees on hunting and fishing licenses, licences on cosmetologists, barbers, business incorporation fees, etc., etc., etc.

Since the last "Reform of the T" FGap is supposed to be 0

Hasn't quite worked out that way

According to my memory. You're a consultant. I presume you write like this because it is in your training and that's how you consult to your clients.

Over here. Stop doing that. All that is alot longwindedness and fluff. All to say that cost of regular operations be matched with regular revenue without additional state funds.

Which he said nothing on that at all. Nor your formula that you speculated as a long thought experiment, at best (much less itemizing and using termninolgy from an actual financial report), how to address the infrastructure side of the MBTA. Which may well keep any reform looking bad no matter how well bus drivers show up to work. Not that I have an issue reforming if the what is said about absenteeism holds.

Data -- I never said it was Clean Sheet or anything ideal -- there was historic infrastructure needing support and upgrade as well as annoying things which could have been fixed with all the money that was spent -- but the T chose to do otherwise

The entire context was HK building from scratch and that if the MBTA had that chance, it would have been really different. As you responded, it framed the thesis and supporting stuff as rebuking to mean the MBTA did had a chance. Listing pet peeves remains your pet peeves. The rebuilds of things like Copley had objectives to address ADA compliance and went extra mile to make it pretty. Same goes for Harvard Station. It is not their problem you don't like the screech. All of that remains off topic to the original point where you responded in the matter you disagree.
 
South Coast Rail might actually get cancelled!

"The report also calls for a halt to any spending on system expansion that doesn't already have federal funding until that program is actually in place. That means the Green Line Extension, which recently received a commitment of nearly $1 billion in federal funds is OK, but plans for an electrified commuter-rail line to New Bedford should be shelved."
 
South Coast Rail might actually get cancelled!

"The report also calls for a halt to any spending on system expansion that doesn't already have federal funding until that program is actually in place. That means the Green Line Extension, which recently received a commitment of nearly $1 billion in federal funds is OK, but plans for an electrified commuter-rail line to New Bedford should be shelved."

At least one good thing might come out of this hack job...
 
The entire report is horrendously flawed:

Markup courtesy of Ari:
https://twitter.com/ofsevit/status/585841609566199809

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https://twitter.com/ofsevit/status/585823116192022529
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https://twitter.com/ofsevit/status/585830108495269888
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Ari Ofsevit @ofsevit · 1h 1 hour ago
Re: overtime: $45m is a big number, but only <10% of overall payroll. Again, the denominator matters.

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Sandy Johnston ‏@sandypsj 26m26 minutes ago
This seems like the exact opposite of how transit mitigation fees should work. #MBTAreport #MBTA pic.twitter.com/lv551Z0qgJ

CCFKS4TWAAAON_T.jpg:large


^ Yes, that is a suggestion to PENALIZE TOD developers with T fees.
 
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Not all of this is bad - there are some legitimate points made about administrative structure, procurement strategies, Big Dig debt transfer, and capital planning, but my eyebrows went up when one of their recommendations was to change the CEO's title. That's dumb. That has nothing to do with the problem - it's an obfuscation strategy. Also, you need to fire the board that actually has experience from the past 2 months to "take complete responsibility?" Are you f-ing serious?

You're expecting me to take seriously a report that recommends firing the whole board (which has nothing to do with any of this) and statutorily replacing them with each individual Governor's cronies and changing the CEO's job title, but in which THE WORDS "GAS TAX" ARE NOT ONCE MENTIONED?

Also, of course, I second the fairly common comments about the poor data comparisons throughout. NJ Transit, BART, and the London Underground (sigh - really?) are not "peer agencies" for the MBTA. WMATA almost is, if you count MARC and VRE somehow. The CTA, Pace, and Metra taken together are. SEPTA sort of is. No one who is confused about why these agencies are fundamentally different should ever be allowed to perform an analysis of transit agency performance. My personal favorite is actually on Page 13, where the MBTA rates in second place in two of the three categories (and is 2-3x the third-place agency each time) but the conclusion is the somehow critical "Existing sources of revenue at the MBTA are at or below parity with key agencies." In other words, out of 3 charts of 5 agencies, it's never the top-end outlier, and that's evidence of systemic failure. That's a truly artistic achievement in misleading the reader.
 
"The report calls for an end to restrictions on fare increases - in fact, it criticizes the T for offering pass holders higher discounts than other transit agencies in the US and England and says that's "unsustainable.""

Awesome, just keep increasing fares, putting costs on the backs of riders, and not fixing anything.

It's clear that Charlie Baker's vision of MA is a car-clogged dystopia. It's 2015, not 1950.
 
This report is pretty much useless as far as I can tell and as mention before some of the comparisons make no sense.
 
This is the kind of report that corporate CEO's commission.

"Task Force -- here is what I want to do to the MBTA -- bring me a report that justifies what I want to do."
 
Calling this a report is generous - this is a 50 page presentation!
 
https://www.bostonglobe.com/metro/2...l-leave-act/DcxXz14AHnomVjP70u4WiN/story.html

Insiders say it’s the open secret of the Massachusetts Bay Transportation Authority: If you want to take a day off without any consequences, you should get certified under the Family and Medical Leave Act.

James O’Brien, president of the Boston Carmen’s Union, which represents T workers, called the process [of getting FMLA] “grueling.”

Now that's total bullshit. Getting FMLA is a joke, it's so easy.

But in its report, the panel drew attention to the large number of T employees who have been granted approval to take family or medical leave. About 30 percent of workers — and 65 percent of subway operators — have been approved, which the panel says is “disruptive to productivity.”

But the problem goes deeper than that. Dubose, who said she worked two decades as a supervisor, said many T supervisors don’t adequately monitor whether employees are taking leave only for the reasons stated in their doctor’s form.

That breeds a culture that allows drivers to take time off without any consequences, she said.

In February, the height of the weather crisis, the number of bus trips canceled because of family medical leave absences more than tripled to 2,389. In comparison, 604 bus trips were canceled because of the weather, according to the panel’s report.
That is important.. Someone upthread commented on the possibility that maybe workers couldnt get to work or had snow-related reasons to call out in February. Is it a coincidence that FMLA absences suddenly tripled during the crisis? Being absent because of the snow is one thing and it's understandable, but it is NOT a medical issue (for most) and this is blatant misuse of FMLA.
 
The fact that there is flagrant abuses and incompetencies present in the MBTA's management and culture makes it all the worse that the committee hacked its findings so much.
 
That is important.. Someone upthread commented on the possibility that maybe workers couldnt get to work or had snow-related reasons to call out in February. Is it a coincidence that FMLA absences suddenly tripled during the crisis? Being absent because of the snow is one thing and it's understandable, but it is NOT a medical issue (for most) and this is blatant misuse of FMLA.

It's FMLA not MLA. So you're right there were certainly not medical issues that tripled during that period. But FMLA isn't just personal medical reasons.
 
The entire report is horrendously flawed:

Ari Ofsevit @ofsevit · 1h 1 hour ago
Re: overtime: $45m is a big number, but only <10% of overall payroll. Again, the denominator matters.

---

Sandy Johnston ‏@sandypsj 26m26 minutes ago
This seems like the exact opposite of how transit mitigation fees should work. #MBTAreport #MBTA pic.twitter.com/lv551Z0qgJ

CCFKS4TWAAAON_T.jpg:large


^ Yes, that is a suggestion to PENALIZE TOD developers with T fees.

Data -- did you actually read the report ???

I did -- its actually a short read composed of 30+ powerpoint slides in the core + some appendices

The key is that the people involved did a thorough job of both reviewing other previous studies and interviewing the interested and relevant parties

They then put together the key options for fixing the major problem -- the Culture and Structure

All the rest including realignment of bus routes, changing the fare structure, and plans for future expansion all must wait until the Attitude and Operating Process are reformed

If you can retire at 43 with a pension in excess of what quite a number of folks earn each year -- then you damned better show up where and when you are supposed to unless a pit bull is currently gnawing on your right leg

Most of the comments that I've read are just Knee-jerk Apologias for the T employees who are conducting fraud on a massive scale -- a spit in the face to the tax payers paying for their Florida Vacations in February -- and even a total show of disrespect to the T-users who plug in a Charlie Card and expect a ride
 
I dont know, people... I have to say Im disappointed at all this kicking and screaming... there is a lot of reasonable stuff here in the report.

On p 16, they propose that the state officially shoulders the legacy and Big Dig debts

Perhaps someone can explain p 17 to me, because they are reporting that every year the MBTA spends roughly half of what it plans to spend each year in capital. If this is true in any way, it's embarassing.

p 17 - why in the world the T doesnt have a decent database of repairs is beyond me (oh, they dont have enough money to record this stuff? great excuse!)

p 18: states exactly what the T ought to be doing:
▪ For FY2016, the MBTA should:
– Prepare an assessment of its most urgent capital and rolling stock needs.
– Identify clear funding needs.
– Spend its entire FY16 capital allotment.

▪ The MBTA should also prepare 5- and 20-year capital plans, laying out a phased
program for the complete restoration of the physical assets of the MBTA, a plan to address
the failings within the existing capital program, and clear recommendations for funding
needs.
– Based on the 5- and 20-year capital plans, the Legislature should create a new, protected
capital fund dedicated to system rehabilitation and modernization.
– This will require a Legislative commitment of new capital funding for the MBTA.

Page 19, all excellent ideas that unions and politically connected people of all kinds will immediately oppose:
▪ The Legislature should permit the MBTA to use project delivery methods used
by other state agencies.
– The MBTA should be permitted to make use of the Design-Build procurement method to
reduce project timelines and increase efficiency.
– The MBTA should be permitted to make use of the Construction Management at Risk
procurement method to better manage costs.
– The MBTA needs an exemption to privatization and contracting restrictions to make an
impact in the severe backlog of projects.
▪ The MBTA should reduce barriers to public-private partnerships and pursue
them to the greatest extent possible and prudent.
– For example, the MBTA should be permitted to seek and consider partnerships that
would allow them to address long term-costs associated with track and rolling stock. An
example would include a re-structuring of the bus network to allow greater reliance on
lower-costs vans, jitneys, and flexible pricing.

p 27 is pretty embarassing... as in my last post, Feb 2015 FMLA - for MEDICAL absence, not snow issues - 2,389 vs Feb 2014 842.

p 28
MassDOT and the MBTA lack a rigorous, long-range system expansion strategy based on a
clear-eyed understanding of the physical and financial capacity of the MBTA and the
regional transit needs of the future.
YESSS a logical mechanism for determining the NEEDS of transit rather than what looks good on a map


It really doesnt even seem that people have even read this document - for instance, at the end it recommends that the governor, among the recommendations:
▪ Prioritize and understand immediate capital needs, the Governor directs the Secretary of Transportation and Chief Administrator to assess MBTA’s most urgent capital and rolling stock needs for the next 5 years, recommend priorities, and submit a procurement and implementation plan.

▪ Capture future revenue opportunities, the Governor directs the Secretary and Chief Administrator to develop a pro-active plan to significantly increase its own-source revenue through fares, advertising, concessions, parking, and real estate, as well as through grants and federal programs2.

▪ Focus on immediate and short-term capital needs, or the State of Good Repair, the Governor directs MassDOT and the MBTA to impose a moratorium on all construction spending for system expansion, except for federally funded projects3.
▪ Tackle procurement inefficiencies and cultivate expertise, the Governor directs the Secretary to centralize agency procurement and contracting under a new professional office for both the MBTA and MassDOT.

Rec's for the legislature include AMENDING EXISTING LAW TO:
Amend existing law to:
▪ Permit the use of project delivery methods used by other state agencies.
▪ Free the MBTA from the constraints of the Pacheco Law, and other limits placed on its use of modern procurement, where beneficial and cost-effective.
▪ Review the process of collective bargaining and consider limiting provisions (i.e. eliminate evergreen clauses, limit scope of issues subject to binding
arbitration, and require board approval of agreements), as needed to establish cost-effective operations and to better promote a collaborative relationship between management and labor.
▪ Reconstitute the MassDOT Board to make it more effective and representative. Reconstitution should include: increasing the number of members; changing the terms so that the majority of members serve coterminus with the Governor by whom they are appointed; appointing the Secretary of Transportation as the Chair. Further changes to the structure of the MassDOT Board should be informed by the experience of the FMCB period2.

and
Longer term:
▪ Create a new, protected capital fund dedicated to system rehabilitation and
modernization based on the 5- and 20-year capital plans.

this report sounds pretty reasonable to me. the agency is clearly utterly rotten to the core and NO the sole excuse is not lack of funding, which does not explain high absentee rates, backward records keeping, and total lack of clear vision. fix the system, figure what the immediate needs are, and fix those, while developing a new and well-reasoned analysis of where the next expansion ought to be.
 
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