KentXie
Senior Member
- Joined
- May 25, 2006
- Messages
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Re: The Boston Arch (Aquarium parking garage)
First of all stellar, the 1.3million sq ft, $1 billion dollar project is not the current 200 ft plan. Shoot if it was, the project would have to extend over the waterfront. Thus the current scale down version with only luxury condos would not need to be near $1,000 per square foot. Most likely the construction cost would be lower since no demolition is required, only the strengthening of the pylons.
Second of all, I will counter your statement by stating that even luxurious condos with good facade often do not have condos that cost over $1000/sq foot.
Case in point (listed as floor/price/space/bed&bath/pricebyfoot/maintenance):
45 Province St:
15 $499,000 535 0 / 1 $932/ft $322
11 $625,000 966 2 / 2 $646/ft $433
16 $776,000 966 2 / 2 $803/ft $748
12 $970,000 1291 2 / 2 $751/ft $988
21 $1,975,000 1507 2 / 2 $1310/ft *
25 $3,964,000 2872 3 / 3.5 $1380/ft $3,224
Intercontinental Place
14 $339,900 426 0 / 1 $797/ft $691
18 $695,000 860 1 / 1.5 $808/ft $1,057
16 $779,000 858 1 / 1.5 $907/ft $890
21 $995,000 1257 2 / 2 $791/ft $1,650
20 $1,075,000 1263 2 / 2 $851/ft $1,646
17 $1,375,000 1484 2 / 2.5 $926/ft $1,956
18 $1,495,000 1546 2 / 2.5 $967/ft $1,986
21 $3,400,000 3020 3 / 4.5 $1125/ft $3,718
20 $3,750,000 2873 3 / 3.5 $1305/ft $3,843
21 $6,450,000 4752 4 / 4.5 $1357/ft $5,986
MacAllen:
4 $465,000 793 1 / 1 $586/ft $507
2 $469,900 820 1 / 1 $573/ft $521
4 $499,900 855 1 / 1 $584/ft $482
5 $509,000 1052 1 / 1 $483/ft $624
5 $519,000 1031 1 / 1 $503/ft $607
5 $524,000 1103 1 / 1 $475/ft $599
7 $549,000 1089 1 / 2 $504/ft $593
7 $579,000 1200 2 / 2 $482/ft $529
5 $695,000 1346 2 / 2 $516/ft $672
12 $799,000 1279 2 / 2 $624/ft $780
7 $889,000 1656 1 / 1.5 $536/ft $1,116
6 $899,000 1722 2 / 2 $522/ft $908
6 $899,000 1690 2 / 2 $531/ft $889
6 $1,155,000 1850 2 / 2 $624/ft $990
10 $1,175,000 1864 2 / 2 $630/ft $1,276
Note how when there is a unit that cost more than $1000/ft, it is usually near the upper floors and/or has a huge amount of space. Space and price do not move in a one to one proportion (as in once space hits a certain amount the cost per foot increases. Similar to how progressive tax works with amount of income). Even when buildings have multiple $1000/foot, it's normally due to floor level and space + amenities.
Ritz Carlton:
3 $599,500 967 1 / 1.5 $619/ft $1,217
8 $659,000 1276 2 / 2 $516/ft $1,549
3 $699,000 1059 1 / 1.5 $660/ft $1,184
27 $785,000 803 1 / 1.5 $977/ft $933
19 $795,000 884 1 / 1.5 $899/ft $989
23 $819,000 803 1 / 1.5 $1019/ft $900
11 $869,000 1085 2 / 2 $800/ft $1,184
9 $999,900 1240 2 / 2 $806/ft $1,900
16 $1,025,000 1131 2 / 2 $906/ft $1,212
11 $1,200,000 1402 2 / 2.5 $855/ft $1,548
36 $1,399,000 1257 2 / 2 $1112/ft $1,597
21 $1,498,000 1504 2 / 2.5 $996/ft $1,746
23 $1,575,000 1573 2 / 2.5 $1001/ft $1,772
27 $1,675,000 1573 2 / 2.5 $1064/ft $1,837
28 $1,675,000 1573 2 / 2.5 $1064/ft $1,848
30 $1,695,000 1573 2 / 2.5 $1077/ft $1,885
34 $1,925,000 1880 3 / 3 $1023/ft $2,275
25 $1,995,000 2036 2 / 2.5 $979/ft $2,441
33 $2,125,000 2036 2 / 2.5 $1043/ft $2,634
32 $2,500,000 2242 2 / 2.5 $1115/ft $2,815
20 $2,799,000 2667 3 / 4.5 $1049/ft $3,094
22 $3,250,000 2667 3 / 4.5 $1218/ft $3,094
31 $3,695,000 2667 3 / 4.5 $1385/ft $3,367
35 $3,750,000 2667 3 / 4.5 $1406/ft $3,492
34 $5,395,000 3246 4 / 4.5 $1662/ft $4,016
32 $6,200,000 4200 3 / 4.5 $1476/ft $5,061
PH $6,900,000 4421 4 / 5.5 $1560/ft $5,831
29 $8,990,000 5594 5 / 4.5 $1607/ft $6,438
However don't let facade trick you. There is an autocorrelation within buildings with bad facade and price. Most of the time, buildings with bad facade lacks good amenities or the same amount as a better looking one. If Chiofaro builds one that is loaded with amenities, I can guarantee you the price per foot will go up. You also have to note that certain amenities will bring a higher price. If I was given enough resources (money, researchers, and time), I could probably do a study on which amenities tend to boost price, at which floor will have the most affect on price, distance from CBD and how it affects price, and then put facade as a dummy variable to test its significance. But so far the evidence I provide should be sufficient. Here's the source for my numbers:
http://www.luxuryboston.com/
My conclusion: Chiofaro is in good position to build a shitty building. A shitty building that probably has a pool, a gym, restaurants, etc.
I am always willing to be educated.
Show me any multi-unit residential building where the sales price for a unit is $1,000 a sq ft or higher, and the building's facade and general appearance looks like crap.
Remember, Chiofaro has said his development/construction costs for his 1.3 million sq ft structure were going to be $1 billion, so he is not thinking of $300 a sq ft sales price for the units he would build.
First of all stellar, the 1.3million sq ft, $1 billion dollar project is not the current 200 ft plan. Shoot if it was, the project would have to extend over the waterfront. Thus the current scale down version with only luxury condos would not need to be near $1,000 per square foot. Most likely the construction cost would be lower since no demolition is required, only the strengthening of the pylons.
Second of all, I will counter your statement by stating that even luxurious condos with good facade often do not have condos that cost over $1000/sq foot.
Case in point (listed as floor/price/space/bed&bath/pricebyfoot/maintenance):
45 Province St:
15 $499,000 535 0 / 1 $932/ft $322
11 $625,000 966 2 / 2 $646/ft $433
16 $776,000 966 2 / 2 $803/ft $748
12 $970,000 1291 2 / 2 $751/ft $988
21 $1,975,000 1507 2 / 2 $1310/ft *
25 $3,964,000 2872 3 / 3.5 $1380/ft $3,224
Intercontinental Place
14 $339,900 426 0 / 1 $797/ft $691
18 $695,000 860 1 / 1.5 $808/ft $1,057
16 $779,000 858 1 / 1.5 $907/ft $890
21 $995,000 1257 2 / 2 $791/ft $1,650
20 $1,075,000 1263 2 / 2 $851/ft $1,646
17 $1,375,000 1484 2 / 2.5 $926/ft $1,956
18 $1,495,000 1546 2 / 2.5 $967/ft $1,986
21 $3,400,000 3020 3 / 4.5 $1125/ft $3,718
20 $3,750,000 2873 3 / 3.5 $1305/ft $3,843
21 $6,450,000 4752 4 / 4.5 $1357/ft $5,986
MacAllen:
4 $465,000 793 1 / 1 $586/ft $507
2 $469,900 820 1 / 1 $573/ft $521
4 $499,900 855 1 / 1 $584/ft $482
5 $509,000 1052 1 / 1 $483/ft $624
5 $519,000 1031 1 / 1 $503/ft $607
5 $524,000 1103 1 / 1 $475/ft $599
7 $549,000 1089 1 / 2 $504/ft $593
7 $579,000 1200 2 / 2 $482/ft $529
5 $695,000 1346 2 / 2 $516/ft $672
12 $799,000 1279 2 / 2 $624/ft $780
7 $889,000 1656 1 / 1.5 $536/ft $1,116
6 $899,000 1722 2 / 2 $522/ft $908
6 $899,000 1690 2 / 2 $531/ft $889
6 $1,155,000 1850 2 / 2 $624/ft $990
10 $1,175,000 1864 2 / 2 $630/ft $1,276
Note how when there is a unit that cost more than $1000/ft, it is usually near the upper floors and/or has a huge amount of space. Space and price do not move in a one to one proportion (as in once space hits a certain amount the cost per foot increases. Similar to how progressive tax works with amount of income). Even when buildings have multiple $1000/foot, it's normally due to floor level and space + amenities.
Ritz Carlton:
3 $599,500 967 1 / 1.5 $619/ft $1,217
8 $659,000 1276 2 / 2 $516/ft $1,549
3 $699,000 1059 1 / 1.5 $660/ft $1,184
27 $785,000 803 1 / 1.5 $977/ft $933
19 $795,000 884 1 / 1.5 $899/ft $989
23 $819,000 803 1 / 1.5 $1019/ft $900
11 $869,000 1085 2 / 2 $800/ft $1,184
9 $999,900 1240 2 / 2 $806/ft $1,900
16 $1,025,000 1131 2 / 2 $906/ft $1,212
11 $1,200,000 1402 2 / 2.5 $855/ft $1,548
36 $1,399,000 1257 2 / 2 $1112/ft $1,597
21 $1,498,000 1504 2 / 2.5 $996/ft $1,746
23 $1,575,000 1573 2 / 2.5 $1001/ft $1,772
27 $1,675,000 1573 2 / 2.5 $1064/ft $1,837
28 $1,675,000 1573 2 / 2.5 $1064/ft $1,848
30 $1,695,000 1573 2 / 2.5 $1077/ft $1,885
34 $1,925,000 1880 3 / 3 $1023/ft $2,275
25 $1,995,000 2036 2 / 2.5 $979/ft $2,441
33 $2,125,000 2036 2 / 2.5 $1043/ft $2,634
32 $2,500,000 2242 2 / 2.5 $1115/ft $2,815
20 $2,799,000 2667 3 / 4.5 $1049/ft $3,094
22 $3,250,000 2667 3 / 4.5 $1218/ft $3,094
31 $3,695,000 2667 3 / 4.5 $1385/ft $3,367
35 $3,750,000 2667 3 / 4.5 $1406/ft $3,492
34 $5,395,000 3246 4 / 4.5 $1662/ft $4,016
32 $6,200,000 4200 3 / 4.5 $1476/ft $5,061
PH $6,900,000 4421 4 / 5.5 $1560/ft $5,831
29 $8,990,000 5594 5 / 4.5 $1607/ft $6,438
However don't let facade trick you. There is an autocorrelation within buildings with bad facade and price. Most of the time, buildings with bad facade lacks good amenities or the same amount as a better looking one. If Chiofaro builds one that is loaded with amenities, I can guarantee you the price per foot will go up. You also have to note that certain amenities will bring a higher price. If I was given enough resources (money, researchers, and time), I could probably do a study on which amenities tend to boost price, at which floor will have the most affect on price, distance from CBD and how it affects price, and then put facade as a dummy variable to test its significance. But so far the evidence I provide should be sufficient. Here's the source for my numbers:
http://www.luxuryboston.com/
My conclusion: Chiofaro is in good position to build a shitty building. A shitty building that probably has a pool, a gym, restaurants, etc.