Not much about City Hall until the last part.
N.Y. stays hot as Hub cools: Apple leads in housing, jobs
By Scott Van Voorhis
Boston Herald Business Reporter
Sunday, December 24, 2006 - Updated: 04:18 AM EST
The once-hot condo market has cooled in Boston. City and business leaders are soul-searching about how to spark job growth in a still sluggish local economy.
All of which is in stark contrast to the Hub?s archrival, New York, which is experiencing a boom of historic proportions.
Housing construction is soaring, and companies are adding tens of thousands of jobs a year in the Big Apple. The city is bracing for a million more New Yorkers by 2030.
The contrast in the two cities? housing markets was not lost on Donald Trump, in town recently to put on a motivational seminar at Boston?s new convention center.
?New York is doing very well,? Trump told the Herald then. ?I am getting higher prices than I would have gotten (a few) years ago,? he said of some of his luxury condo projects.
But the contrast is raising troubling questions among local business leaders.
Some executives are wondering why Boston is missing out and whether state and city leaders need to be doing more. There is even concern that New York?s success is coming at Boston?s expense, sucking away growth that could be coming to the Hub.
?It?s cheaper to live in Boston than in New York,? said downtown Boston tower developer Dean Stratouly. ?We should be (attracting) more of the financial services and investment management companies to Boston.?
New York has been banging out 30,000 homes and condos a year, and a major construction industry group predicts that pace will continue through 2008.
Fueling the housing surge is job growth, with Wall Street workers taking home outsized paychecks and bonuses that are being rolled into new condos. New York City added 42,000 jobs last year, a 1.4 percent growth rate, and down from 2 percent in recent years.
Another big factor fueling the boom - population growth. New York?s population has seen a dramatic rebound since the 1970s, and is now at a record 8.2 million. It is expected to grow to 9 million by 2030.
With its economy firing on all cylinders, big projects like the Time Warner Center and new Hearst Tower are getting both proposed and built.
?Three quarters of a million people moved back into the city. That is a very big number. It has really fueled the condominium market,? said William Wheaton, an MIT economist and real estate expert.
Meanwhile in Boston, expansion is modest at best right now.
Job growth has been a mixed bag, with Massachusetts, and its economic engine Boston, still recovering from the last recession. Overall, the state is still down 143,800 jobs from 2001.
Office vacancy rates are tightening, with small and midsized firms scooping up space and adding jobs. But many of the city?s flagship corporations have been acquired.
While the giants still here, like Fidelity Investments, are growing, they are also shifting jobs out to out-of-state campuses and beyond.
The one area Boston had seen strong growth in - housing - now appears to be cooling.
Outgoing City Hall development chief Mark Maloney recently boasted of the city?s big housing push - 17,000 new units since 2000.
But even that accomplishment may be in trouble, with condo sales slowing downtown and developers of planned projects weighing whether to start building.
What to make of this tale of two cities? What?s the missing ingredient in Boston?
One big answer, local executives said, is job growth, which helps fuel demand for both new housing and downtown towers alike.
Such growth provides the wind that helps move big projects forward, developers say.
?Job growth is the key,? said Thomas Meagher, head of Northeast Apartment Advisors, which tracks the Boston - and now New York - area housing markets. ?We are having some positive job growth, but it?s tepid.?
And both state and city government are behind the 8-ball when it comes to working to keep big companies in Boston, Stratouly, the Boston tower developer, argues.
He called Mayor Thomas M. Menino?s plan to form a City Hall sales group to market Boston to companies a step in the right direction.
?It?s better late than never,? Stratouly said. ?When you have this . . . exodus from the city . . . it is horrible. It is a wake-up call.?