Re: Fairmont Line Upgrade
Which is why I wrote either/or on an extension or a cutback of the Providence Line. It's absolutely clear that RI's rail services have no business being treated as a conjoined part of the Providence Line in the way that Wickford Junction continues to be treated and, in fact, everybody suffers when you treat the line that way.
That is not a concern of MA taxpayers. It's RI's taxpayers. Read their new State Rail Plan their taxpayers are on the hook for. That is what spells out the detail. None of that is pertinent to a Massachusetts capital investment plan that MA taxpayers are paying for. They don't need to say boo about it. You might disagree, but they drew the line on surplus-to-requirement at what the taxpayers are paying for. That's a valid choice on their part for this documentation.
The only thing the T cares about for its revenue and its expenses are what RI destinations maximize their MA boardings. To the extent cross-state stops are in-district constituencies, there are three: Providence/T.F. Green, Nashua, and Plaistow. Because stopping in South Attleboro, Tyngsboro, and parking-starved Haverhill leaves too much on the table for tying up the district's needs.
Anything beyond that is mercenary ops work they are happy to pick up because RIDOT or NHDOT paying in for RI intrastate or (if the day ever comes) Capitol Corridor expresses increases the economy of scale of the fleet, staff, and ops support without costing MA taxpayers. For example, the new RI State Rail Plan makes specific mention for the first time of DMU's on the highest frequency/highest demand stations in Greater Providence. That helps the T enormously in procuring a fleet because they will get RI's % pay-in. MassDOT very much cheers them on with that. But you won't see that mentioned here because RI's taxpayers who have to float that share, and it is transparent to the vehicle procurement.
As far as where to truncate the Providence Line...that decision
can't be made for another 5 years because the intrastate service hasn't bloody begun yet. Nor have the intrastate service patterns, where they'll overlap, where they'll terminate been determined yet. There's nothing to say, nothing to write verbage on. Nothing for MassDOT to lead or take a stand with until they know what RIDOT's intrastate service patterns are going to be.
It's a valid debate for another thread, but it's outside the purview of a MA cap improvements plan. The only thing you can say for certain is that they will not drop MA stops and MA stop revenue over their dead body for the sake of running faster RI-centric service from Boston. Not when every stop Sharon-S. Attleboro individually clocks more boardings than Providence and Canton + 128 not far behind. Nor are they going to give RIDOT its future growth slots on the locals to pay in for for more Boston expresses. They don't have to say any more; when it's time to firm up the service plan, the parameters are clear.
So the 2024 MBTA grand mission statement is absolutely the time to start drawing the line on all these nebulous outer-edge commuter rail services in a way that hasn't at all been done satisfactorily - both here and out by Cape Cod, where rail to the cape continues to be treated as a holiday tourism weekend service - which rail to Hyannis probably is for a long time yet, but Buzzard's Bay should be demanding a full commuter rail extension at least that far.
http://www.capecodonline.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20140117/NEWS/401170316/-1/NEWS06
Thankfully the Cape isn't waiting for somebody else to define them. That was an unsatisfactorily nebulous detail, but as this article makes clear there is NO question that all the regional heavies want Buzzards Bay as a full-blown Middleboro Line extension. As for shuttle service from the other side of the bridge...there lurks Cape Cod Central RR itching to run more passenger service, and now owned by a larger railroad with access to Budd RDC's and other passenger equipment from their other holdings. That part of the details could be fuzzy for a good reason if there's a potential private outsourcing partner to contribute across the bridge where it's a little bit of a reach for T ops. But the locals have made it very clear they are the ones defining where the dividing line is: nothing less than full-blown Buzzards Bay-terminating extension of the Middleboro Line is going to serve their basic needs. They are filling in that fuzzy detail right now.
Where does the district actually stop? Which services are part of the core Boston commuter district, which are not? We apparently have absolutely no interest in answering this question, in fact, we don't appear to have much interest in taking substantial looks at things in our mission statements because just drawing arbitrary lines on a map is both easy and fun!
http://www.mbta.com/uploadedfiles/A...sals_2012/Map of MBTA Service District(1).pdf
That's the district. 65 towns in the fixed route division coverable by bus or rapid transit; 175 total in the catchment area of some MBTA service or another. Outside the inner 65 it's the Regional Transit Authorities that run the buses.
With commuter rail every town hosting the rail line (whether they have a stop or not) has to go in. And barring a ferocious protest every adjoining town in the station catchment area goes in. Sometimes 2 towns out go in if they're heavy users, but that's a lot more situational.
-- Fall River and New Bedford must get added for South Coast Rail. Acushnet, Fairhaven, Somerset, Dartmouth, Westport, and Dighton are the abutting towns. Swansea gets so close to Fall River it's very nearly an abutting town. These not being in-district is why we have the godawful unaccountable SCR Task Force being the intermediary negotiating with those towns and promising candy and unicorns on the T's back.
-- Bourne has to get added for Buzzards Bay. Sandwich also seems a likely one since it clips the mainland side of the Canal at Scusset Beach. Beyond that Cape is hard to pin because of the separation by bridges and Canal. I can absolutely believe Falmouth and Mashpee will strongly support going in because they're strongly advocating for the service. Marion...it borders Wareham but they probably like their isolation.
And that's it. Other than tiny Dunstable being users of the in-state intermediates on a Lowell Line extension to Nashua there's nobody else who needs to join for any service enhancement. As far as I know Gardner isn't being added for the Wachusett extension, but they technically will still be 2 towns out because the stop stays just a hair inside Fitchburg city limits.
Purple Line is never going to Springfield no matter how much Gov. Patrick covets the idea. There's no effing way to bureaucratically square that many new towns into the district. Western MA is Amtrak's realm or MassDOT subsidizing CTDOT operations on the Springfield Line the same way RIDOT subsidizes T operations. The same goes if they ever pay in more to coax NHHS further north to Chicopee, Northampton, and/or Greenfield.
Half of this release was the mission statement. The other half was five-year budgetary targets.
Starting on Page 62 is a big, dry, boring list of every single project supposedly on the five-year expenses radar. This list is the kind of thing that itemized out eight separate phases to the Aeronautics Division "Residential Acquisition and Sound Insulation Program" and priced each of them individually. I didn't expect to find Readville Yard in big, glossy letters in the PowerPoint half of this project but I sure as hell expected it somewhere on Page 71, priced out individually in the same way projects in other categories were priced out individually but where rail and transit projects get lumped into 'implicits' and broad-strokes funding guesstimates that suggest MassDOT either doesn't know or doesn't care about the particulars or the little things like DMU implementation lives or dies on.
Yup. Because the funding sources aren't identified. This is a great big "Ehh...my successor's problem" from Patrick, and an assumption that Davey is going to want to stick around in the next admin. That is worrying, because there's been no change in the lack of urgency to reform the funding from previous times big reform has been publicized but never followed through on. Patrick still hasn't explained how to close all the gaps in the projects he proposed in Transit Bill vs. the funding he was handed in the passed Transit Bill after DeLeo and Murray gutted it. And he hasn't got much motivation to as a final-year lame duck with Legislators all busy running for reelection. If he spends half his year doing promo...then the calendar doesn't leave much room for supplying nuts-and-bolts funding.
We're right to be skeptical of that. I agree totally...it's scary thin on the implementation plan. While I think Fairmount Line is on very solid footing now, there needs to be a lot more coming on how they're going to pull this off elsewhere. For instance, there is no freaking way the Worcester Line can support DMU's when it's still that slow, still in the rear division of the commuter rail on on-time performance, and still has expensive infrastructure upgrades inside Framingham with the signal system and crossovers before it can support mixed service patterns passing each other fluidly. That's "Do not pass Go" territory until the track upgrades are fully substantiated with dollar figures. The line absolutely has that native capacity if firing on all cylinders, but that won't happen until they eat their peas on the unsexy upgrades currently holding it all back.
It's not enough to line-item "DMU Implementation" at $190,000,317 (or, maybe it's broad-categorized under the similarly nebulous "Fairmount Phase II," budgeted at $42,792,208) and then shrug and say 'well I'm sure that's good enough.' Show me that it's good enough, I want each individual piece of this thing chunked out and priced out the same way the highway division was able to cost sign replacement on each state road separately instead of tossing out a "Signage Replacement" line-item and calling that good enough for a budget. Otherwise, it gives me the impression that they don't know or they don't care what's going to be involved in any of this - perhaps because the entire DMU project is vaporware they have no intention of finishing?
I would say more solid than vaporware at this point. But given the scenarios I outlined above with the legwork needed to get the track ready on pretty much every non-Fairmount Line...I have to wonder if it moving to near-certainty has something to do with RIDOT telling them they want to go all-in on a pool order for the 2020 start of their instate service. And that's what's ensuring enough of a base order to go for...not the non-Fairmount lines being in any way/shape/form ready or paid for. But if RIDOT said that, it's not going to show up on these reports because it's outside the scope of these reports.
Not that this is a bad thing in the slightest if Fairmount still gets to realize its service plan and RIDOT's share is helping pay for the facilities to maintain these things. That's a deep long-term down payment put to good use. They just need to show the money on how they're going to get the infrastructure and stations on the other routes ready to take the cars. Otherwise there's nothing preventing them from structuring a Fairmount-explicit + RIDOT-implit "sure thing" base order with a shitload of option orders covering the other lines...then the options never being exercised if things stagnate.