Re: I-90 Interchange Improvement Project (Allston)
In a previous post, you made a very good argument why scheduling an every-15-minute Allston/Brighton to South Station shuttle is going to be difficult to mix with the existing Worcester schedule (much less an expanded one).
I'm anticipating being told that they are going to scale back their plans of serving West Station with any kind of train service to once every 30 minutes or once an hour, erratically. I already know that they were only thinking of stopping 2 trains in the morning rush at New Balance, but that was before the whole Interchange project came along.
So, I'm going to be making the argument to them that they absolutely must serve West Station (and hopefully New Boston Landing) with every-15-minute service or better. Whether it be DMU or push-pull, I don't care, I just want to make it clear that some kind of vehicle had better be making at least 4 stops per hour, as evenly spaced as possible throughout the hour. This isn't a theoretical argument. Unless they happen to show up with a great plan, it's probably going to be a big topic of discussion sometime in October.
What is the minimum additional investment that they would need to put into the Framingham line in order to have every-15-minute service at West Station while not interfering with the existing Framingham/Worcester schedule? Obviously they need to add at least one more mainline track, and that should have already happened. Would an additional crossover somewhere west of West Station be enough to resolve scheduling difficulties? A siding for the DMU shuttle to sit while changing ends?
The mainline track's not a big deal. The Yawkey construction delays and single-tracking through there during construction overshot the original deadline, so it would've been pointless to do BP in a hurry. Digsafe spraypaint for modifying the interlocking and some yard rail removal were already done last year. This year track gangs have been busy installing new rail on the northside, engineering dept. has been on loan for the Knowledge Corridor project that's due to wrap before Christmas, the whole MBCR-to-Keolis transition happened, and they're swamped testing new cars and locomotives. Next fattened Worcester schedule has to wait to spring with such a ridiculously busy year. It'll get done. This is one they can quietly knock out in a week or two since it only spans the pre-existing interlockings on the east and west side of BP.
West and/or New Balance are situated around the existing set of Beacon Park crossovers, and Yawkey's already sandwiched by a set. Nothing new needed in the actual shuttle service area, and shifting the interlockings a few feet east or west of a newly constructed station platform is not a big deal.
Shuttle trains on-shift probably reverse on the platform. When the Track 61 plan for BBY short-turns was first brought up, a T southside engineer explained on RR.net that they can change ends and do the brake test quickly enough on-platform to get back out of there without a hitch before the next train arrives. They wouldn't be able to lollygag it...but on any given week they reverse hundreds of trains under similar time pressure like second-nature. The layover yard for shift changes would be the one they're building at BP. You'll notice at Readville that to get to/from the platform and the adjacent layover yard the trains have to reverse, cross over, reverse. They get that done so quickly it'll never foul another train's slot.
The problem is entirely with Worcester/Framingham trains and the next set of crossovers. You only have 1 set by Wellesley Farms, and next set after that is way the hell out at Framingham Jct. When Newton locals and nonstop trains are hopping over each other, missing such a precision passing target by even a little bit torpedoes the whole schedule. On other lines there's Plan B passing opportunities, and schedule slip can be halted at a few minutes or recovered later in the run to stop the delays from cascading to gridlock. Here, when something's late...something else doesn't move. And the something that doesn't move makes something else behind it not move. All-or-nothing...and that's why when Worcester's late, it's the line most likely to be a half-hour or full hour late.
Like I said earlier, the interlockings may be set up just fine to poke a shuttle to West or NB and not one inch further without fouling anything in regular conditions. On any other line that would look like a fan-fucking-tastic deal. But if it's enough added congestion for a 1% reduction in the razor-thin OTP margins for all those Worcester/Framingham trains that have to thread the needle...do the math. 240 trains per workweek right now, an increase coming with the BP 2nd track + new equipment, an increase coming for the 80 MPH uprate past Framingham, and probably a few small step-ups beyond that. A 1-out-of-100 borking = ~3 disaster commutes per week with cascading delays taking down multiple trains at a time if it happens at a bad time of day. That is enough to get Adam at UHub dedicating one of his daily "trains are dead!" limericks to the Worcester Line once a week, and some high-profile blowback from Worcester County voters sending their pols nipping at the MassDOT Secretary's heels. With good reason.
So...bare minimum is they have to put some crossovers halfway out in Newton. Probably before Newtonville so the track switching dance happens much closer to the affected station. Then move the Wellesley Farms one to Riverside Jct. so it bookends Auburndale and settles up the future access to the Riverside spur (can't get there at all from today's outbound track). Then probably another set by one of the outer Wellesleys to re-balance the distance to Framingham. This is very hard to do with such an old and inflexible Absolute Bblock Signal system they're stuck with. That's why the work wasn't done 20 years ago when service past Framingham returned. New crossovers
can be installed without a totally new signal system...but it's at high pain and cost threshold for each new touch.
Given everything else they want to do in the Transportation Bill with the B&A--Inland Service, the Boston-Montreal study, and keeping-on keeping-on with the stepped-up Worcester schedule--going to the well again and again modifying the old won't work. It needs a rip-out/rebuild to the same cab signals the whole rest of the line has out to Albany. Cost/benefit doesn't wash for any of those Transit Bill priorities until they get a Fitchburg-level funding dump for a total resignal job. Go to Waltham this weekend and watch the small army of electricians trench wire around the grade crossings while the line is closed...it is a
total do-over for getting formerly system-worst Fitchburg to 80 MPH, reliably on-time, with fattened schedule, and primed for expansion. Money extremely well-spent, but...lots and lots of money.
It's a misnomer that you
need the shiny new DMU vehicles to run those headways at all. You don't. Push-pulls can run these schedules. The acceleration difference between a very beefy HSP-46 and a DMU is much smaller on such close stop spacing than the difference between holding doors for a few seconds because the last passenger is sprinting up the ramp waving to hold the train. It's functionally zilch. I think the difference gets exaggerated by us having to watch one of those gimp 25-year-old F40 locomotives struggle like hell to grip the rails when pulling sardine-packed 7 bi-levels out of Yawkey. Those things were bought back when few trains went longer than 4 single-level coaches. Passengers riding with the new engines for the first time are remarking on RR.net how they're (pleasantly) not used to feeling a jolt of that many G's coming out of a dead stop. You've really got to get to EMU-level performance to count up a schedule difference that's going to outpace crapshoot door-closing times at any given stop any given time.
Now, it gets progressively less
cost-effective to run push-pulls like that the more saturated such short-distance schedules get. The 4-car minimum consist size (esp. with the fleet overturning to majority bi-level) is overkill, and would run heavier operating losses off-peak than a smaller vehicle. The vestibule door configuration is not great for grab-and-go boarding; you want
mid-spaced doors. And
3 x 2 seating sucks ass on routes with stop-by-stop ridership overturn.
But note there's nothing in those characteristics that
makes the service or the schedule. The DMU configuration
optimizes the service...optimizes the hell out of it. But it's not a requirement for starting the schedule. You can run Fairmount with the full clock-facing schedule on 4 coaches and a locomotive, and you can implement that necessary fare redistribution on 4 coaches and a locomotive. You
will board a push-pull in your Indigo travels those occasional "once every 15" slots when something from outside 128 is stopping at your station. That's how much the vehicle doesn't make the service. Now, they wouldn't want to run it on nothing but push-pulls for more than the first few years because the operating margins in shuttle service are a little meh and as people get more reliant on it they'll start to find the door/interior layout a little limiting.
But they're absolutely good for establishing
service and acting as the bridge fleet. No all-new vehicle arrives on the property in less than 4 years from first Request For Proposals to delivery. The HSP-46's were bid out 5 years ago; the Red and Orange Line cars won't see the light of day for 5 or 6 years. It's a load of crap to say "Oh, we can't increase the Fairmount schedule until we get the DMU's; it's just not feasible." It's not feasible to do more than a lame 22 round trips because shiny thing and reasons? That's a cop-out. And anyone who has stood at a Silver Line stop and been left wanting more about how that service unfolded ought to have their BS detector going off re: specialty rolling stock being the story they're sticking to about what makes or breaks a service. DMU's are very nice vehicles. You will love them if they run that frequently.
But you will hate them if you bought the hype...then had to use Talbot Ave. every day where the very nice vehicle only runs every 25 minutes...then had to listen to Joe Pesaturo's voice trail off about "budgets and changing priorities and reasons". Rolling stock ≠ service. Rolling stock can optimize the service, but if the service isn't there at meaningful levels there's nothing to optimize. Then the rolling stock is a white elephant siphoning resources away from replacing more kaput old equipment. Nail these spokesflaks to their every word on what the service actually is. You will know if new rolling stock is a wise investment by how much they do or do not talk in specifics about the service plan when pressed.