BOS has room for 2 hubs, but 3 i'm not sure. I'm frankly surprised that AA is up-scaling after years of cuts at Logan, considering the growth from Jetblue and Delta. I guess it shows how strong the economy here has been lately.
Its funny because overall since 2017 its capacity will have shrunk by 10% still. Its Hub growth is declining, and is now adding P2P to offset some of that decline. Not that they are adding P2P to literally offset the decline, it is just definetly taking away from some of the loss. It seems in an excel graph by VS4ER, nearly every AA hub (Except LAX) has lost traffic and footing since 2017, so adding a few routes here and there seems like a logical approach to stay at a fair share, not necessarily become a hub.. just stay relevant especially when you have Oneworld partners operating major flights out of Logan next summer (BA 5x, Iberia/Level 3x Max, Qatar 1x, JAL 1x, Cathay 1x). I see this move necessary for AA who has huge FF in BOS from its prosperous 1990-2010 years... because at one time BOS was the 4th largest hub for them after DFW, ORD, MIA and STL. If AA caters a slight bit to whatever they have left in BOS, because supposively AA still has major BOS contracts, besides their Oneworld partner flights to HKG, LHRs, MAD, DOH->, NRT.. they can now add AUS to their domestic network with LAX, NYC, CHI, MIA, DC, CLT, DFW, etc. The only major missing hole I see is the Bay Area and Seattle for AA in Boston. They have most of America covered where companies really want to fly to. They have Asian routes covered via JAL and Cathay. They have literally 5x flights a day to LHR on BA/AA now to connect, well anywhere in Europe. They also have Qatar for MENA and India, Australia too. AA may have reduced considerably since their heydey in 2004 of 150 flights a day, but in turn have really have those much needed international connections from BOS. And frankly, I just seem them patching up where their FFs want them to go. I could see them adding maybe 3-4 more routes, staying about the same size and improving their BOS services dramatically. I dont think it would be crazy to see an ORD shuttle come to BOS, nor a Bay area route. If we recall correctly the Bay Area route (BOS-SFO) went out of commission in 2010, and served loads of ~90%. Very profitable too, per AA reports. Im not saying any of this to get hopes up, just to further examine the AA adds. Especially if we now have Austin.
In conclusion, the AA adds may be very sudden/shocking.. but when you look deeper into it, they are keeping their much needed FF happy and filling those cracks to serve them better. In 2005, you could go to 45 destinations throughout the US and a few in Europe. You could also get to LHR and beyond through BA. Now your no more than one stop on Oneworld to all six continents, and the domestic markets are all the most business heavy. Why not add a few more sprinkled in business routes to keep your FF happy? It also helps to have those winter CUN, EYW and NAS to cash in for family vacation in off months. Also loads are phenomenal on the CUN/MBJ routes, like over 92%
I see it as a very healthy market in BOS, for AA. Dont expect major growth, because again, YOY AA is actually declining in share ad numbers, and none of these adds will throw AA over where it has been.