Hopefully the recording of the session will be posted publicly soon. Let's review the six options on the map:
- SL3
- Chelsea to Malden Center
- significant street-running on Ferry St
- Chelsea to Wellington
- significant street-running on Route 16
- Chelsea to Sullivan Square
- SL6
- Glendale to Kendall via E Somerville
- Glendale to Kendall via Community College
- Glendale to Haymarket via Rutherford Ave
Let's also review the specific pieces of infrastructure discussed here:
- Bus lanes on Alford Street Bridge across Mystic River
- Bus lanes on Broadway to Lynn St
- Bus lanes on Rutherford Ave
In terms of where bus lanes have so far been proposed, there is a clear winning route: Glendale to Haymarket via Rutherford Ave; this route would run almost entirely in dedicated bus lanes.
That list of proposed bus lanes may not be exhaustive. The SL3 alts might see bus lanes between Chelsea and Everett Sq, and perhaps the SL6 alts would see bus lanes southwest of Sullivan; I guess we'll need to wait for the full recording to know for sure.
The article also mentions the possibility of local bus routes using the Silver Line bus lanes as well. Let's review those:
- Bus lanes on Alford Street Bridge across Mystic River
- Bus lanes on Broadway to Lynn St
- 97, 110, 112 (partial)
- 104, 109 (majority)
- Bus lanes on Rutherford Ave
- none
- the following routes originate north of Sullivan and could potentially through-run to downtown if high reliability could be assured: 104, 105, 109, 95, 101, 89
We can see that the SL6 alignments overlap heavily with existing routes. In particular, the 104 and 109 layer on top of each other to form (pre-covid) ~8-min headways, indicating high demand along this corridor. No existing route runs between Sullivan and Lechmere, but
EZRide does link Lechmere and Kendall roughly along the proposed alignment.
The SL3 alignments have much lower overlaps with existing bus routes. No routes mirror the Chelsea-Malden or Chelsea-Sullivan alts. The 112 broadly mirrors the Chelsea-Wellington alt; the 112 is low-frequency (45 min headways even at peak) and operates highly circuitously through Chelsea.
Let's momentarily set aside the question of routing, and instead approach this from the perspective of the capital investments under review here. The SL6 alignments reflect existing rider patterns, and build on an existing network of routes which would all see improved reliability and travel times with the construction of dedicated bus lanes. The SL3 alignments do not closely adhere to any existing routes, and have much less evidence of demand.
It's also unclear whether the SL3 alignments would provide speedier service to Everett. SL3 from Chelsea Station to South Station is timetabled in the morning rush at 35 minutes. Let's assume (perhaps generously) that an extension to Everett Sq adds 8 minutes, bringing total travel time from Everett to Downtown to 43 minutes.
By contrast, going from Everett Sq to State via the 109 + Orange today takes 25 minutes; according to Google, at least one 104 bus through runs from Sullivan directly to State as a 92 bus, and is able to complete that journey in 38 minutes. Meaning: the Everett Sq-Sullivan-Haymarket journey
today -- without bus lanes south of Sullivan and with 20 min worth of local stops in Charlestown -- is already competitive with an SL3 extension, which already has bus lanes, and which needs to contend with the unreliability of the drawbridge and the Ted Williams Tunnel. The improvements described here would undoubtedly shorten that runtime further.
Finally, it's worth pointing out that an SL3 extension will be limited to rolling stock that can operate in the Transitway underground; a separate SL6 extension would not, and therefore would have greater operational flexibility. (An SL6 service to Haymarket would also be easy to extend to South Station via Congress St, and integrate to the SL4.)
So, I say, build the bus lanes first, and then figure out changes you want to make to the routes. Bus lanes on Broadway and the bridge serve routes that sorely need them now, and which could integrate with a new Glendale-Downtown service to provide high-frequency headways within Everett. These would also leave open the door for subsequent SL3 extensions to Glendale, Sullivan, or even further south.
Bus lanes on Rutherford would enable one-seat rides from Everett to downtown; Everett is the only community that directly borders Boston which does not have a (regularly scheduled) one-seat ride to downtown. Lanes on Rutherford can also be leveraged for a service to Kendall, either now or in the future.
By contrast, the SL3 alignments rely more heavily on mixed-traffic running, use a more circuitous route to reach downtown, integrate poorly into the existing network, and will have kneecapped reliability due to the drawbridge, Ted Williams Tunnel, and more limited rolling stock.
1) Build the bus lanes, reflecting present and validated rider demand
2) Institute SL6 from Glendale to downtown or Sullivan, and combine and coordinate SL6, 104 and 109 schedules.
3) See where things go from there