The Big Dig was done almost 15 years ago. For anyone under 35 or who moved here in the last 15 years, they don't really remember it (or what it was like before it). Smaller projects like GLX or even the Comm Ave bridges and Government Center reconstructions, Terminal E expansion, etc. have shown that there is the ability to do projects right here. Part of the messaging has to be "we learned lessons X, Y, and Z from Big Dig and it will be different because we already dealt with these problems in that project" though.
This is a fair point, and well-made. I still think there is enough institutional and political memory of the Big Dig to create inertia, but that will indeed ease with the passage of time.
Unlike many other transit projects, NSRL would provide relatively little benefit to the residents of the neighborhoods, or even city, in which its construction would be most disruptive. Fairmount doesn't really have a nice pairing on the north side, so would likely continue to terminate at South Station.
As you wrote, Big Dig had a clear benefit: vehicles go away and central artery comes down. NSRL doesn't have that. It's not like people who live in the North End are complaining about their lack of connection to Weymouth Landing or people who live in Seaport are complaining about their lack of one-seat-ride to South Acton.
Like you said, it would provide a small benefit to many municipalities outside 128 and on the north shore, but there are no big winners like most of the _X projects, and thus champions.
Gonna push back hard on this, actually, just to clarify a few things.
Construction: as I understand it, because the NSRL will be deep-bored, there actually will be relatively little impact at surface level -- certainly nothing like the Big Dig. Significant impact at the portals, yes, but that's more localized, and most of the portals are in industrial-ish areas.
Lack of benefit to locals: this is not true, and goes back to my point about the need to rework the messaging. Right now (or at least pre-covid), inbound Orange Line and Green Line trains need to pick up huge numbers of commuter rail passengers to carry them the last mile to their employment center, from North Station and Back Bay. The crush load on the Orange Line core is radically reduced with an NSRL, freeing up capacity and speeding up service (shorter dwells) for local residents.
In my opinion, Fairmount is actually the
most likely to get routed through the NSRL -- not as full suburban runs to Lowell or Rockport, but as short-turns to Waltham/Weston or Lynn/Salem. (Fairmount would actually pair match pretty nicely with a Peabody Branch.)
The Fairmount-Waltham idea is illustrative of an additional major benefit the NSRL would provide to local residents. Both by virtue of the capacity increase and the frequency increase, an NSRL would essentially allow us to create two (or perhaps three) full-on near-rapid transit lines, with branches to Waltham, the North Shore, Fairmount, and Allston/Brighton/Newton/Riverside. (Remember, even with the NSRL built, the current North Station and South Station remain in place, meaning you have capacity to run many more trains into Boston, even if not all of them are running through the tunnel.)
This would provide enormous increases in access for residents of Dorchester, Mattapan, Allston, Brighton, Newton, Watertown (via Newton Corner), Waltham, Belmont, Somerville, Everett (depending on station site), Chelsea, Lynn, Salem, and the Seaport. It would open up new one-seat rides to satellite employment areas like Longwood, Sullivan, Waltham, Dedham/128 (if extended), in addition to the new cross-downtown access described earlier.
(For example, compare the experience of a Chelsea rider working in Longwood before and after NSRL: before, it's probably the 111 to Haymarket, followed by a crowded transfer to the Orange Line or maybe the Green. That becomes an easy and significantly faster journey with the NSRL, potentially in a single seat.)
And there are benefits to residents in the core as well. Yes, it's true that Seaport residents aren't kicking to go to South Acton, but Waltham, Sullivan, and several places on the North Shore would be compelling. And with the aforementioned frequency increases, Seaport residents will also have much better access to Back Bay and Longwood.
And while residents of the North End may not be as excited about their new possible destinations, employers in Downtown, Back Bay, and the Seaport would be
thrilled to see their pool of potential job applicants
double. We know that Boston's job market is essentially bifurcated based on the North Station/South Station split. NSRL mitigates that enormously.
Likewise, residents of Downtown, the North End, and Seaport might not care about all the places they could now travel to by train... but they absolutely would be thrilled to have less traffic on their streets. I'd need to go and find the specific paper again, but there is research that suggests that the reduction in auto traffic on 93 would be significant enough that it would actually drop below a major "speed threshold" -- the road would be uncrowded enough that traffic would naturally flow faster, which speeds journeys for those who can't use public transit, and would have a major impact on emissions and air quality.
(Imagine the difference it would make on the Tobin if enough of those North Shore commuters coming down Route 1 could be diverted on to a train. Say hello to faster 111 trips!)
^^^ All of this is why that graphic emphasizing the gap between the northside network and southside network is ineffective. It does nothing to articulate the ripple benefits, and it leaves folks with the very understandable misconception that the North-South Rail Link would not help local residents of Boston and the surrounding cities.
Sorry for the wall of text! I don't mean to come off harsh -- like I said, I think what you said is a very common notion of what the NSRL would do, and I think it's very understandable, given the way the project has been talked about for decades. But it's so important that we start to shift our mindset on this! The NSRL will be a big lift, and I remain pessimistic about our ability to carry it off. But it's also vital to understand the literally transformative benefits it would bring.