Re: 111 Federal St. | Formerly Trans National Place (Winthrop Square) Part 2
But the BRA doesn't have to look too far into the future to justify Accordia or Transnational to anti-development empress Shirley or anyone else. Over time, the money evens out probably with Transnational besting Millennium.
I looked into the program of each proposal. While the tax rates and revenues are pretty hard to calculate (because they're based on value, not SF), it's pretty striking how differently-sized these buildings actually are. You can pretty closely relate SF to value, and therefore to projected revenue.
Trans National - 1.715 million GSF (500-700K office, 1 million residential, 30K retail)
Millennium - 1.4 million (500K office, 600K residential, 30K retail)
Trinity - 900K
HYM - 785K
Accordia - 767K
I'm not sure whether the Trans National number includes their existing building or not, which may make a difference, and Lendlease's (annoying) presentation doesn't give it.
I'm not an expert, but I'm not sure how the city can give this to Accordia. They'd be walking away from a huge amount of money. If the City needs a Downtown school, HYM might be workable.
The question is whether the increased value of Trans National over time makes up the $75.79 million in additional cost paid by Millennium upfront. I did some quick calculations using the assessor's database with a condo in 45 Province and 200 Clarendon as exemplars for residential and office value per SF. At the current property tax rates, Millennium would pay about $12M per year in R+O property tax, and Trans National $18.
The City of Boston breaks even in year 13. Now, that doesn't account for the fact that Millennium has the Great Hall and Trans National has... a set of posters about innovation, or that Millennium is the definition of proven and Trans National has spent a decade failing on this very site during a boom.
For those of us - like me - who don't like the Millennium design, we're probably going to have to get used to it.